Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 31′Corinthians, yellow card:
- 35′Vasco DA Gama, goal:1–0assist
- 37′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- Half-time1 – 0
- 50′Corinthians, goal:1–1assist
- 57′Corinthians, goal:1–2assist
- 59′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 67′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 67′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 67′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 75′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 75′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 75′Vasco DA Gama, substitution:off
- 76′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 77′Corinthians, substitution:off
- 85′Corinthians, yellow card:
- 88′Vasco DA Gama, goal:2–2
- 90′Vasco DA Gama, goal:3–2assist
- 90+2′Vasco DA Gama, yellow card:
- 90+6′Corinthians, yellow card:
- Full-time3 – 2
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Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Match report
Hinestroza double rescues Vasco da Gama against Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama beat Corinthians 3-2 at São Januário in Brasileirão Série A on Matchday 32, with Marino Hinestroza scoring in the 88th and 90th minutes to overturn a 2-1 deficit. The late swing capped a match in which the home side held 64% of possession and had 25 shots to 12.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
José Rodríguez put Vasco ahead in the 35th minute, finishing from David's assist, and the hosts led 1-0 at half-time. Corinthians were level within five minutes of the restart, Gustavo Henrique scoring in the 50th minute from Breno Bidon's pass.
Matheus Bidu then put the visitors in front in the 57th minute, converting Fabrizio Angileri's assist. Vasco pressed for the equaliser, and Hinestroza supplied it in the 88th minute. Two minutes later he struck again, this time from another David assist, to complete the turnaround.
The result lifted Vasco to 13th on 38 points, five clear of 17th-placed Corinthians on 33. Corinthians are now without a win in 10 games. Vasco host Flamengo on Thursday in the Brasileirão Série A, and Corinthians are at home to Mirassol on Friday in the same competition.
Hinestroza scored twice, in the 88th and 90th minutes, to turn a 2-1 deficit into a win and earned the top rating of the match at 8.87. José Rodríguez, who opened the scoring, was rated 7.76.
Vasco had 25 shots to Corinthians' 12, reflecting how much of the contest they controlled.
Vasco DA Gama beat Corinthians 3–2 (half-time 1–0).
Vasco DA Gama met Corinthians in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at São Januário. Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio. Attendance: 19,048.
Team pages: Vasco DA Gama · Corinthians · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 35' Goal: José Rodríguez (assist: David) — 1–0
- 50' Goal: Gustavo Henrique (assist: Breno Bidon) — 1–1
- 57' Goal: Matheus Bidu (assist: Fabrizio Angileri) — 1–2
- 88' Goal: Marino Hinestroza — 2–2
- 90' Goal: Marino Hinestroza (assist: David) — 3–2
Starting line-ups
Vasco DA Gama (4-2-3-1)
Corinthians (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vasco DA Gama 43%, the draw 32%, Corinthians 25%. It finished Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Corinthians.
Vasco's rating edge, with Corinthians pulling back — We give Vasco DA Gama 43%, built on a slightly higher strength rating and home advantage in a competition where it runs strong, though Corinthians' cold finishing streak, which tends to bounce back, pulls the other way. The draw rises from a usual 27% to 32%, lifted by this competition's draw rate and Corinthians' control of the ball.
Why Vasco DA Gama at 43%?
Vasco DA Gama sit 42 points higher on our strength rating — 1526 to 1484. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,069 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.9% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,489 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 43%?
Corinthians sit -0.40 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,642 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. Corinthians hold 6 more possession points (57 to 51 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.7% across 5,922 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Corinthians win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Vasco DA Gama sit -0.35 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. With 8 rounds left, both still have something to play for — Vasco DA Gama are 4 points above the drop, Corinthians 2 points above the drop. Two-motivated run-ins have leaned slightly to stalemates in our corpus, but the measured cell (4115 games so far) hasn't cleared our evidence bar — noted at 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Corinthians. Explore more on the Vasco DA Gama and Corinthians team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.