New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow1 clip- 5′St. Louis City, goal:0–1assist
- 35′St. Louis City, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 63′New York Red Bulls, substitution:Connor Faellooff
- 64′New York Red Bulls, substitution:Pedro Castrooff
- 71′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 71′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 84′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 85′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 85′St. Louis City, substitution:off
- 86′New York Red Bulls, yellow card:
- 87′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 87′New York Red Bulls, substitution:off
- 87′St. Louis City, goal:0–2assist
- 90+1′St. Louis City, goal:0–3assist
- Full-time0 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
Match report
St. Louis City cruise past New York Red Bulls with late flurry
New York Red Bulls were beaten 3-0 at home by St. Louis City in Major League Soccer regular season action, a result that leaves the hosts languishing in 19th place while the visitors sit third in the standings. The three goals all arrived from the away side, with Rafael Navarro's early strike settling the contest's direction long before the finish.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Navarro opened the scoring inside five minutes, finishing off a pass from Conrad Wallem to put St. Louis City ahead, and that slender lead held firm through the interval and deep into the second half. The hosts were unable to find a response despite spells of pressure, and the visitors made the game safe in stoppage time either side of the 90th minute.
Simon Becher doubled the advantage in the 87th minute, converting a Christopher Durkin assist, before Tomáš Ostrák added a third in the first minute of added time, teed up by Jeong Sang-Bin. The late double put a one-sided gloss on a match that St. Louis City had controlled for long periods, with 15 shots to New York's 10 underlining their greater threat throughout.
Conrad Wallem set up Navarro's opener and earned the night's highest rating of 7.89, playing a central role in St. Louis City's control of the game. Both goalscorers in the late double, Ostrák and Navarro, also featured among the top performers.
St. Louis City's 8 shots on target compared with New York's 5 reflected their greater cutting edge in front of goal.
St. Louis City won 3–0 away against New York Red Bulls (half-time 0–1).
New York Red Bulls met St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 27). Kick-off was Wednesday, 30 September 2026, 23:30 UTC at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Referee: Rubiel Vazquez. Attendance: 15,147.
Team pages: New York Red Bulls · St. Louis City · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Rafael Navarro (assist: Conrad Wallem) — 0–1 · Watch Rafael Navarro's goal video (5')
- 87' Goal: Simon Becher (assist: Chris Durkin) — 0–2
- 90+1' Goal: Tomáš Ostrák (assist: Jeong Sang-Bin) — 0–3
Starting line-ups
New York Red Bulls (4-3-3)
St. Louis City (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York Red Bulls 32%, the draw 24%, St. Louis City 44%. It finished New York Red Bulls 0–3 St. Louis City.
St. Louis City's rating gap outweighs New York Red Bulls' home ground — St. Louis City are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of St. Louis City's 44%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why St. Louis City at 44%?
St. Louis City sit 165 points higher on our strength rating — 1426 to 1590. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.6% of 6,689 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–22–46.
Why only 44%?
Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,204 games vs 44.6% across all 100,703 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. New York Red Bulls sit -0.54 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.4% of 2,496 such games where the class table expected 35.8%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,063.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Louis City scored +0.41 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,821 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. St. Louis City have gained 83 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,118 such games vs 40.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from New York Red Bulls 0–3 St. Louis City. Explore more on the New York Red Bulls and St. Louis City team pages or the Major League Soccer page.