Philadelphia Union vs 17.10.26 18:302 – 2Full Time
Charlotte — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Philadelphia Union fight back to draw 2-2 with Charlotte
Philadelphia Union and Charlotte shared the points in a 2-2 draw at Talen Energy Stadium on Matchday 30 of Major League Soccer. The home side had led through a first-half penalty, but Charlotte turned the game around after the interval before Union found a late equaliser.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Milan Iloski put Philadelphia ahead from the penalty spot in the 24th minute, and they took that 1-0 lead into half-time. Charlotte levelled within three minutes of the restart, R. Aloko scoring in the 48th minute from an I. Toklomati assist.
Toklomati then turned scorer himself in the 62nd minute, finishing a delivery from David Schnegg to make it 2-1 to the visitors. Philadelphia answered in the 73rd minute, when Bruno Damiani converted a cross from Danley Jean-Jacques, and neither side found a winner.
The result ended Philadelphia Union's run of 8 wins in a row, though they are now unbeaten in 12 games. It lifted Charlotte to 47 points in ninth, one point ahead of tenth-placed Philadelphia on 46. Charlotte travel to Portland Timbers next in Major League Soccer, while Philadelphia host New England Revolution on Saturday 24 October.
I. Toklomati scored Charlotte's second goal and set up R. Aloko's equaliser, earning the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.22.
Philadelphia had 21 shots to Charlotte's 13, despite Charlotte holding 60% of the possession.
Philadelphia Union and Charlotte drew 2–2 (half-time 1–0).
Philadelphia Union met Charlotte in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:30 UTC at Talen Energy Stadium. Referee: Jon Freemon. Attendance: 18,551.
Team pages: Philadelphia Union · Charlotte · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 24' Goal (penalty): Milan Iloski — 1–0
- 48' Goal: R. Aloko (assist: I. Toklomati) — 1–1
- 62' Goal: I. Toklomati (assist: David Schnegg) — 1–2
- 73' Goal: Bruno Damiani (assist: Danley Jean-Jacques) — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
Charlotte (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Philadelphia Union 59%, the draw 21%, Charlotte 20%. It finished Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte.
Strong home advantage puts Philadelphia Union in front — We give Philadelphia Union 59% mainly because home sides in Major League Soccer do better than the global norm, and our strength rating also has them a shade stronger, 1598 to 1519. The draw starts near 27% for a gap this size but drops to 21%, lowered by finishing streaks and both teams' recent games averaging 3.8 goals.
Why Philadelphia Union at 59%?
Philadelphia Union sit 79 points higher on our strength rating — 1598 to 1519. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,400 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,237 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Charlotte scored +0.42 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.2% of 1,469 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 59%?
Philadelphia Union scored +0.76 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.5% of 1,487 games, vs 27.7% against normal finishing.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The cool-off factor takes 2.5 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Philadelphia Union have gained 133 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,205 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 11 home Major League Soccer games: 7 wins and 4 draws. The run began on 18 April 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 21 March 2026 — Philadelphia Union 1–2 Chicago Fire. Latest home league result: 10 October 2026 — Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake. Across 13,724 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Philadelphia Union 2–2 Charlotte. Explore more on the Philadelphia Union and Charlotte team pages or the Major League Soccer page.