Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow5 clips- 4′Atlanta United FC, goal:1–0assist
- 30′Chicago Fire, goal:1–1assist
- 38′Chicago Fire, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 51′Chicago Fire, goal:1–2assist
- 59′Atlanta United FC, yellow card:
- 60′Chicago Fire, goal:1–3assist
- 61′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 61′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 67′Atlanta United FC, goal:2–3assist
- 68′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 68′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 68′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- 74′Atlanta United FC, yellow card:
- 80′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 81′Chicago Fire, yellow card:
- 84′Atlanta United FC, yellow card:
- 84′Chicago Fire, yellow card:
- 87′Atlanta United FC, substitution:off
- 90+1′Chicago Fire, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Match report
Chicago Fire come from behind to beat Atlanta United FC 3-2
Chicago Fire won 3-2 at Atlanta Stadium in Major League Soccer on Matchday 31, coming from a goal down and then withstanding a late push from the hosts. Atlanta United FC went ahead in the fourth minute, when Tomás Jacob scored from Miguel Almirón's assist, but the lead lasted only until the half-hour mark.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Anton Salétros levelled in the 30th minute, set up by Djé D'Avilla, and the same pair combined again soon after the restart. D'Avilla supplied Anzor Mekvabishvili in the 51st minute for 2-1, and Philip Zinckernagel stretched the advantage to 3-1 in the 60th with an assist from Salétros.
Atlanta rallied through Breel Embolo, who scored from Elías Báez's pass in the 68th minute to make it 3-2. The home side could not find an equaliser. Chicago had the greater share of the ball, 53% to 47%, and took nine shots to Atlanta's five.
The result lifted Chicago from seventh to fifth, on 51 points, while Atlanta stayed 28th on 30. Atlanta travel to New York City FC in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, and Chicago host Orlando City SC in their next league game.
Zinckernagel struck Chicago's third goal in the 60th minute and was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 8.03. Salétros, rated 7.9, scored the equaliser and then set up Zinckernagel.
Chicago had nine shots against Atlanta's five, though only three of them were on target.
Chicago Fire won 3–2 away against Atlanta United FC (half-time 1–1).
Atlanta United FC met Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 31). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Referee: Victor Rivas. Attendance: 40,026.
Team pages: Atlanta United FC · Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Tomás Jacob (assist: Miguel Almirón) — 1–0 · Watch Tomás Jacob's goal video (4')
- 30' Goal: Anton Salétros (assist: Djé D'Avilla) — 1–1 · Watch Anton Salétros's goal video (30')
- 51' Goal: Anzor Mekvabishvili (assist: Djé D'Avilla) — 1–2 · Watch Anzor Mekvabishvili's goal video (51')
- 60' Goal: Philip Zinckernagel (assist: Anton Salétros) — 1–3 · Watch Philip Zinckernagel's goal video (60')
- 67' Goal: Breel Embolo (assist: Elías Báez) — 2–3 · Watch Breel Embolo's goal video (67')
Starting line-ups
Atlanta United FC (4-3-3)
Chicago Fire (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atlanta United FC 38%, the draw 25%, Chicago Fire 37%. It finished Atlanta United FC 2–3 Chicago Fire.
Home advantage edges Atlanta past stronger Chicago — Our strength rating has Chicago Fire 132 points higher, 1525 to 1393, but Atlanta United get the usual home advantage, and home sides in Major League Soccer do better than the global norm, so we give Atlanta 38% to Chicago's 37%. The draw starts at about 28%, the usual rate for this strength gap, and drops to 25% because both teams' recent games average 3.1 goals.
Why Atlanta United FC at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Chicago Fire sit 132 points higher on our strength rating — 1525 to 1393. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,788 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,253 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because Chicago Fire are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 25% and Chicago Fire at 37%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Jack Elliott, a star player, and Robin Lod, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Atlanta United FC played 3 competitive matches between 10–17 October 2026 (UTC dates). Chicago Fire played 2 matches in the same 14-day window before kickoff. The busier schedule is worth watching.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Tomás Jacob's goal against Chicago Fire (4').
- Watch Anton Salétros's goal against Atlanta United FC (30').
- Watch Anzor Mekvabishvili's goal against Atlanta United FC (51').
- Watch Philip Zinckernagel's goal against Atlanta United FC (60').
- Watch Breel Embolo's goal against Chicago Fire (67').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atlanta United FC 2–3 Chicago Fire. Explore more on the Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire team pages or the Major League Soccer page.