Match report
Lazio beat ten-man Monza 3-1 to climb to second in Serie A
Lazio won 3-1 against Monza at the Stadio Olimpico on Serie A matchday 6, a result that lifted them from third to second in the table on 16 points. Monza, who started the day 15th with four points, finished it 16th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The home side were in front after three minutes, Nuno Tavares finishing from a Tijjani Noslin assist. Noslin was involved again in the 23rd minute, setting up Gustav Isaksen for a second goal that made it 2-0 and left Lazio level with the half-time scoreline they would take into the interval.
Monza's afternoon worsened in the 35th minute when Lorenzo Lucchesi was sent off, leaving Ivan Jurić's side with ten men for almost an hour. They nonetheless pulled a goal back at the start of the second half, Saba Goglichidze scoring in the 46th minute from a Dany Mota assist to make it 2-1.
Lazio, managed by G. Gattuso, held a clear territorial edge with 66 per cent of possession, but Monza stayed in the contest until late on. Andrea Pinamonti settled it in the 88th minute, converting a Pedraza assist to complete the 3-1 win.
Dany Mota, the highest-rated player on the pitch at 8.06, created Monza's only goal with the assist for Goglichidze, even in a losing side.
Lazio had 66 per cent of the possession against a Monza side reduced to ten men for most of the match.
Lazio beat Monza 3–1 (half-time 2–0).
Lazio met Monza in the Serie A (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. Referee: Giuseppe Collu.
Key moments
- 3' Goal: Nuno Tavares (assist: Tijjani Noslin) — 1–0 · Watch Nuno Tavares's goal video (3')
- 23' Goal: Gustav Isaksen (assist: Tijjani Noslin) — 2–0 · Watch Gustav Isaksen's goal video (23')
- 35' Red card: Lorenzo Lucchesi
- 46' Goal: Saba Goglichidze (assist: Dany Mota) — 2–1
- 88' Goal: Andrea Pinamonti (assist: Pedraza) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Lazio (4-3-3)
Monza (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lazio 63%, the draw 23%, Monza 14%. It finished Lazio 3–1 Monza.
Lazio's rating gap decides it — Lazio are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Lazio's 63%. The draw at 23% is up from the usual 19.9% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Lazio at 63%?
Lazio sit 172 points higher on our strength rating — 1720 to 1548. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,567 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 67–21–12.
Why only 63%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Lazio's column. Across 11,278 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.7%, with draws up 1.4 — negative in every season since 2018. Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.3% of 6,134 games vs 44.6% across all 101,096 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,299. Early-season fixtures add 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Monza are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Out: Adam Marušić, an important player, and Matteo Cancellieri, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lazio vs Monza final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lazio 3–1 Monza. Explore more on the Lazio and Monza team pages or the Serie A page.