Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
Le HavreLorientLe HavreLorientMatch preview
Le Havre seek a first win in nine games as Lorient visit Stade Océane
Le Havre welcome Lorient to Stade Océane on Ligue 1 matchday 10 in a difficult spell. Didier Digard's side are 18th with two points from nine games, and they have lost their last five matches, going nine games without a win.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Alexandre Dujeux's Lorient arrive in 11th place on 12 points, seven places and ten points clear of their hosts. Their last outing ended in a 2-0 home defeat by Stade Brestois 29 on 2 November.
Le Havre's last game was a 5-1 home loss to Paris Saint Germain on 30 October, which followed a 4-3 defeat at Marseille. Across their last five matches they have scored seven and conceded 16, without a single clean sheet.
Across their last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 2, Lorient won 0, with 3 draws. The most recent meeting was Lorient 0–2 Le Havre on 17 May 2026.
Le Havre have lost all five of their recent games, while Lorient have won two, drawn one and lost two of theirs.
Of their last five home games, Le Havre have lost four and drawn one, conceding 11 goals, while Lorient have lost only one of their last five away games and kept four clean sheets.
Le Havre meet Lorient in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 16:15 UTC at Stade Océane. Referee: Aurelien Petit.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Le Havre 33% · Draw 27% · Lorient 40%
Lorient's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Lorient lead mainly because our strength rating has them 135 points higher, 1669 to 1535, while Le Havre's cold finishing, scoring 0.53 goals per game below their chances, pulls a little their way since streaks like that have bounced back. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual 27.6% for this gap, with both finishing streaks nudging it down and typical scoring nudging it up.
Why Lorient at 40%?
Lorient sit 135 points higher on our strength rating — 1669 to 1535. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. Lorient sit -0.51 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 3,000 such games where the class table expected 35.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–27–45.
Why only 40%?
Le Havre sit -0.53 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 3,000 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Le Havre come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals, 15 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Last five: Le Havre L-L-L-L-L, Lorient L-W-W-D-L — Lorient are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.0% of 2060 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3981 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Le Havre vs Lorient, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ligue 1 fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Le Havre and Lorient team pages or the Ligue 1 page.