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AngersNiceAngersNiceMatch preview
Angers seek improvement at Stade Raymond-Kopa against in-form Nice
Angers host Nice at Stade Raymond-Kopa on Ligue 1 Matchday 10 with the two sides separated by seven places. Stéphane Gilli's team are 15th with eight points from nine games, while Olivier Pantaloni's visitors sit eighth on 14, six points clear of them.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Angers arrive off a 2-0 defeat at Lyon last time out, their third loss in five. Their other results in that spell are a 2-0 win over Estac Troyes and a goalless draw with Lorient, and they conceded five against both Stade Brestois 29 and Marseille.
Nice have won four of their last five league games, scoring 12 goals. The latest was a 5-2 home victory over Rennes, and the only reverse in that run came at Lyon, where they lost 2-1.
Across their last 5 meetings, Angers won 1, Nice won 3, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Angers 0–2 Nice on 14 March 2026. Angers's latest win in this sample was Nice 0–1 Angers on 7 December 2025.
Angers have won one of their last five and kept two clean sheets, while Nice have won four of five and scored in every one of those games.
Both sides have faced Lyon and Stade Brestois 29 recently: Angers lost at Lyon 2-0 and at Brest 5-1, while Nice lost 2-1 at Lyon and won 2-1 at Brest.
Angers meet Nice in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 16:15 UTC at Stade Raymond-Kopa. Referee: Geoffrey Kubler.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Angers 33% · Draw 26% · Nice 41%
Nice's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — We give Nice 41% mainly because our strength rating puts them 115 points higher, 1660 to 1545, though Angers' recent finishing below their chances pulls slightly the other way, as cold streaks like this have bounced back. The draw sits at 26%, starting from the usual 28% for a gap this size and nudged down by that finishing streak and both teams' recent games averaging 2.9 goals.
Why Nice at 41%?
Nice sit 115 points higher on our strength rating — 1660 to 1545. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. Nice hold 6 more possession points (53 to 47 in recent games) across a 115-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 9,367 such games where the class table expected 40.5%. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–28–42.
Why only 41%?
Angers sit -0.36 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 3,000 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nice have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Nice are unbeaten in their last 6 visits to Angers: 4 wins and 2 draws, across 6 Ligue 1 games. Last recorded defeat there: 16 February 2019 — Angers 3–0 Nice. Latest visit: 14 March 2026 — Angers 0–2 Nice. Across 2,308 historical matches involving visitors unbeaten in at least five consecutive visits, those visitors won 47.3%, compared with 45.2% expected from the teams' strength ratings. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Angers vs Nice, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ligue 1 fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Angers and Nice team pages or the Ligue 1 page.