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RennesLilleRennesLilleMatch preview
Rennes host second-placed Lille at Roazhon Park in Ligue 1
Rennes welcome Lille to Roazhon Park on Matchday 10 of Ligue 1, with the home side fifth on 16 points from nine games and the visitors second on 18 from the same number. Only two points and three places separate them, so the afternoon offers a chance for Franck Haise's side to close on a top-two rival.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Rennes arrive off a 5-2 defeat at Nice last time out, a result that came after a 3-0 home win over Strasbourg. Across their last five they have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring 12 goals and conceding 12.
Lille, managed by Davide Ancelotti, have drawn three of their last five, winning one and losing one, with two clean sheets. Their most recent outing was a goalless draw at Bodo/Glimt, and before that a 1-0 home win over Lens.
Across their last 5 meetings, Rennes won 1, Lille won 3, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Rennes 1–2 Lille on 15 March 2026. Rennes's latest win in this sample was Lille 0–2 Rennes on 3 January 2026.
Rennes have scored 12 and conceded 12 in their last five, while Lille have scored five and conceded six in theirs, with three draws.
Rennes have won all five of their last five home games, scoring 13 goals, while Lille have won one of their last five away, with two draws and two defeats.
Rennes meet Lille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC at Roazhon Park. Referee: Clement Turpin.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Rennes 43% · Draw 26% · Lille 31%
Home advantage gives Rennes a slight lean — Rennes lead mainly through the usual home advantage, since our strength rating has the sides almost level, Rennes on 1742 and Lille on 1749. We start the draw at the usual 27% for sides this level, nudging it to 26% because each team's own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Rennes in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1742 to 1749. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 26% and Lille at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Rennes are unbeaten in their last 9 home Ligue 1 games: 7 wins and 2 draws. The run began on 22 March 2026. It covers all 5 home Ligue 1 games this season. Last recorded home league defeat: 15 March 2026 — Rennes 1–2 Lille. Latest home league result: 25 October 2026 — Rennes 3–0 Strasbourg. Across 16,587 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.2%, compared with 54.2% expected from team strength. Lille are unbeaten in their last 7 visits to Rennes: 5 wins and 2 draws, across 7 Ligue 1 games. Last recorded defeat there: 24 May 2019 — Rennes 3–1 Lille. Latest visit: 15 March 2026 — Rennes 1–2 Lille. Across 2,308 historical matches involving visitors unbeaten in at least five consecutive visits, those visitors won 47.3%, compared with 45.2% expected from the teams' strength ratings.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Rennes vs Lille, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ligue 1 fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Rennes and Lille team pages or the Ligue 1 page.