Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
AuxerreParis FCAuxerreParis FCMatch preview
Auxerre host fourth-placed Paris FC at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps in Ligue 1
Auxerre welcome Paris FC to Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps on Matchday 10 of Ligue 1, with ten places separating the sides. Paris FC sit fourth on 17 points from nine games, while Auxerre are 14th on 10 points, seven behind their visitors.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Auxerre arrive on the back of a 5-1 defeat at Strasbourg on 1 November. Across their last five games they have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring eight and conceding 12. Liam Rosenior's Paris FC, by contrast, beat Monaco 3-1 at home in their latest outing.
Paris FC have won three of their last five, scoring 10 goals and conceding eight, with defeats at Lorient and Lens either side of a 4-3 home win over Rennes. Of their last five away games, they have won one, drawn one and lost three, scoring five and conceding seven. William Still's side have lost only one of their last five at home.
Across their last 5 meetings, Auxerre won 2, Paris FC won 1, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC on 8 February 2026. Auxerre's latest win in this sample was Auxerre 2–0 Paris FC on 4 May 2024. Paris FC's latest win in this sample was Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC on 1 February 2022.
Auxerre have won two of their last five and lost their most recent game 5-1 at Strasbourg, while Paris FC have won three of five, including a 3-1 victory over Monaco last time out.
Both sides have faced Rennes and Strasbourg recently: Auxerre lost 4-1 at Rennes and 5-1 at Strasbourg, while Paris FC beat Rennes 4-3 and Strasbourg 2-1, both at home.
Auxerre meet Paris FC in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. Referee: Marc Bollengier.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Auxerre 34% · Draw 25% · Paris FC 41%
Paris FC's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Paris FC sit 129 points higher on our strength rating, 1745 to 1616, which is enough to edge them in front even with Auxerre's usual home advantage, so we give them 41% to Auxerre's 34%. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, but slips to 25% because both sides' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Paris FC at 41%?
Paris FC sit 129 points higher on our strength rating — 1745 to 1616. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 29–27–44.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Auxerre at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Paris FC have gained 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Auxerre are 2 games into a new manager (W. Still), appointed 37 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Auxerre vs Paris FC, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Ligue 1 fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Auxerre and Paris FC team pages or the Ligue 1 page.