Antwerp vs Lommel United — Jupiler Pro League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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AntwerpLommel UnitedAntwerpLommel UnitedMatch preview
Antwerp host Lommel United at Bosuilstadion in Jupiler Pro League matchday 11
Antwerp welcome Lommel United to the Bosuilstadion for matchday 11 of the Jupiler Pro League, with Marvin Compper's side in 12th place on 10 points from 10 games. They come into the fixture after a 2-1 defeat at Cercle Brugge on 1 November, their most recent outing.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Lee Johnson's Lommel United sit seventh on 15 points, five places and five points above their hosts. Their last game, on 1 November, was a 2-0 home win over Gent, a result that followed a 2-2 draw at OH Leuven a week earlier.
Antwerp's last five games brought two wins, including a 3-0 victory over Charleroi at home, and three defeats, with nine goals conceded and six scored. Lommel United won three of their last five, scoring ten and conceding seven, and kept two clean sheets.
Lommel United have won three of their last five and Antwerp two, with the visitors scoring ten goals to their hosts' six over that stretch.
Antwerp's last five home games brought 10 goals scored and 11 conceded, while Lommel United's last five away games produced eight scored and 12 conceded.
Antwerp meet Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 19:45 UTC at Bosuilstadion. Referee: Nathan Verboomen.
Team pages: Antwerp · Lommel United · Jupiler Pro League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Antwerp 40% · Draw 26% · Lommel United 34%
Home advantage edges Antwerp past stronger Lommel — Antwerp lead narrowly at 40% because the usual home advantage outweighs our strength rating, which puts Lommel United 48 points higher at 1539 to 1491. The draw sits at 26%, starting from 29% for a strength gap this size and lowered because both teams' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Antwerp at 40%?
Home ground, against the rating. Lommel United sit 48 points higher on our strength rating — 1539 to 1491. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,153 such games.
Why only 40%?
Because Lommel United are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 26% and Lommel United at 34%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Antwerp have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Antwerp vs Lommel United, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Jupiler Pro League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Antwerp and Lommel United team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.