St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem — Jupiler Pro League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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St. TruidenZulte WaregemSt. TruidenZulte WaregemMatch preview
St. Truiden host Zulte Waregem in Jupiler Pro League matchday 11
St. Truiden welcome Zulte Waregem to Daio Wasabi Stayen on matchday 11 of the Jupiler Pro League. The hosts, managed by Frédéric De Meyer, sit 15th with eight points from ten games, while Michael Beale's visitors are 11th on 11 points, four places and three points better off.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
St. Truiden arrive having taken a draw with Brann last time out, 1-1 at home, after a 2-1 home defeat by OH Leuven. Before that they lost 3-2 at Club Brugge, a defeat that followed wins over Lommel United and at FC Midtjylland.
Zulte Waregem have lost four of their last five, the exception being a 3-0 home win over Seraing United. They conceded 12 goals across those five matches and failed to score in three of them, the latest a 4-2 home loss to Club Brugge.
Across their last 5 meetings, St. Truiden won 5, Zulte Waregem won 0, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was St. Truiden 3–2 Zulte Waregem on 15 February 2026.
St. Truiden have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, scoring nine goals, while Zulte Waregem have won one and lost four, scoring five.
Both sides have faced Club Brugge in the past fortnight: St. Truiden lost 3-2 away on 25 October, and Zulte Waregem lost 4-2 at home on 30 October.
St. Truiden meet Zulte Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 18:15 UTC at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium. Referee: Anthony Letellier.
Team pages: St. Truiden · Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League
Sirius · Why these numbers
St. Truiden 53% · Draw 27% · Zulte Waregem 20%
St. Truiden's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give St. Truiden 53% mainly because our strength rating puts them 70 points higher, 1557 to 1487, and their habit of controlling the ball, 57 to 42 in possession in recent games, adds to it. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with a typical 3.0 goals in each side's own recent games nudging it down slightly.
Why St. Truiden at 53%?
St. Truiden sit 70 points higher on our strength rating — 1557 to 1487. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,130 such games. St. Truiden hold 15 more possession points (57 to 42 in recent games) across a 70-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 9,367 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Zulte Waregem at 20%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Zulte Waregem win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Truiden sit -0.38 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. St. Truiden won all 5 of their last meetings with Zulte Waregem: 2 at home and 3 away. These were 5 Jupiler Pro League games played between 2 April 2022 and 15 February 2026. Latest meeting: 15 February 2026 — St. Truiden 3–2 Zulte Waregem. Across 10,176 historical matches involving teams that had won at least four of the previous five meetings, those teams won 55.8%, compared with 54.3% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Jupiler Pro League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the St. Truiden and Zulte Waregem team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.