RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge — Jupiler Pro League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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RAAL La LouvièreCercle BruggeRAAL La LouvièreCercle BruggeMatch preview
RAAL La Louvière host Cercle Brugge in Jupiler Pro League bottom-half meeting
RAAL La Louvière welcome Cercle Brugge to Easi Arena on matchday 11 of the Jupiler Pro League, with the two sides separated by a single place and a single point in the table. The hosts are 16th on seven points from ten games, while Cercle Brugge sit 17th on six.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Edward Still's side arrive after a 5-2 defeat at Charleroi, which followed home wins over Liège and Zulte Waregem by four goals to nil and three to nil respectively. Across their last five games they have won two and lost three, keeping two clean sheets.
Lars Friis's Cercle Brugge come off a 2-1 home win over Antwerp, but they had lost 5-2 at Union St. Gilloise a week earlier. Their record of two wins from five includes nine goals scored and twelve conceded, with no clean sheet in that spell.
Across their last 4 meetings, RAAL La Louvière won 3, Cercle Brugge won 1, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge on 9 May 2026. Cercle Brugge's latest win in this sample was Cercle Brugge 3–0 RAAL La Louvière on 11 April 2026.
RAAL La Louvière have won two and lost three of their last five, with two clean sheets, while Cercle Brugge have also won two and lost three, conceding twelve goals and keeping none out.
Both sides have faced Charleroi recently: RAAL La Louvière lost 5-2 there on 1 November, while Cercle Brugge lost 3-2 away to them on 19 September.
RAAL La Louvière meet Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 19:45 UTC at Easi Arena. Referee: Wim Smet.
Team pages: RAAL La Louvière · Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
Sirius · Why these numbers
RAAL La Louvière 44% · Draw 25% · Cercle Brugge 31%
Home advantage gives La Louvière a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1425 to 1459, the usual home advantage is what puts RAAL La Louvière in front at 44%, even though that small rating edge leans towards Cercle Brugge. The draw sits at 25%, a little below the usual 27% for sides this level, because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why RAAL La Louvière in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1425 to 1459. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 44%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 25% and Cercle Brugge at 31%.
Why the draw at 25%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
RAAL La Louvière come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 13 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). RAAL La Louvière won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Cercle Brugge. The record is 3 wins for RAAL La Louvière, 0 draws and 1 win for Cercle Brugge. These were 4 Jupiler Pro League games played at both grounds between 2 November 2025 and 9 May 2026. Latest meeting: 9 May 2026 — RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge. In 5,573 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Jupiler Pro League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the RAAL La Louvière and Cercle Brugge team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.