Standard Liege vs SK Beveren — Jupiler Pro League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
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Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Standard LiegeSK BeverenStandard LiegeSK BeverenMatch preview
Standard Liege host SK Beveren on Jupiler Pro League matchday 11
Standard Liege welcome SK Beveren to the Maurice Dufrasnestadion for matchday 11 of the Jupiler Pro League, with Vincent Euvrard's side ninth on 12 points from 10 games. Tim Bakens' visitors sit 13th on 10 points, four places and two points behind the hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Standard come into the fixture after a 1-1 draw at home to Kortrijk on 31 October, which followed a 2-1 defeat at Genk a week earlier. Across their last five games they have won one, drawn one and lost three, scoring five goals and conceding six.
Beveren were beaten 2-1 at home by Union St. Gilloise last time out, after a 4-4 draw at KVC Westerlo. Of their last five away games they have drawn one and lost four, scoring five goals and conceding 15, while Standard have won three of their last five at home.
Across their last 5 meetings, Standard Liege won 4, SK Beveren won 1, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was SK Beveren 1–2 Standard Liege on 28 October 2025. SK Beveren's latest win in this sample was SK Beveren 2–1 Standard Liege on 21 December 2019.
Standard have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five, while Beveren have won one, drawn one and lost three, though Beveren have conceded 10 goals in that spell to Standard's six.
Both sides have faced Kortrijk recently, Standard drawing 1-1 with them at home on 31 October and Beveren losing 1-0 at Kortrijk on 20 September.
Standard Liege meet SK Beveren in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Friday, 6 November 2026, 19:45 UTC at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Referee: Massimiliano Ledda.
Team pages: Standard Liege · SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Standard Liege 57% · Draw 24% · SK Beveren 19%
Strength rating puts Standard Liege clearly ahead — Our strength rating has Standard Liege 112 points higher, 1523 to 1412, and with the usual home advantage on top we give them 57%. The draw sits at 24%, just under the usual 25% for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 3.1 goals.
Why Standard Liege at 57%?
Standard Liege sit 112 points higher on our strength rating — 1523 to 1412. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 14,391 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 56–26–18.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and SK Beveren at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Standard Liege come into this after a busy window — 8 arrivals and 13 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Standard Liege have won their last 7 home meetings with SK Beveren. Those matches were played between 9 August 2015 and 11 January 2021, across 7 Jupiler Pro League games. Latest home meeting: 11 January 2021 — Standard Liege 3–1 SK Beveren. The result before this winning run is outside our recorded meetings. Across 5,408 historical matches following at least three consecutive home wins against the same opponent, hosts won 59.4%, compared with 58.0% expected from team strength.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Standard Liege vs SK Beveren, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Jupiler Pro League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Standard Liege and SK Beveren team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.