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GentKortrijkGentKortrijkMatch preview
Gent host bottom-end Kortrijk at Planet Group Arena on Jupiler Pro League matchday 11
Third-placed Gent welcome Kortrijk to Planet Group Arena in the Jupiler Pro League, with Rik De Mil's side on 25 points from ten games. Daniel Beichler's visitors sit 18th on four points, a gap of 15 places and 21 points between the sides.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Gent's league position is built on home results: they have won all five of their last five home games, scoring ten goals, conceding two and keeping three clean sheets. Away from home they have been less settled, losing 2-0 at Lommel United on 1 November before a goalless draw against KuPS in their last game.
Kortrijk arrive having lost 3-1 at home to KV Mechelen last time out, preceded by a 1-1 draw at Standard Liege. Of their last five away games they have lost three and drawn two, scoring three goals and conceding ten without a clean sheet.
Across their last 5 meetings, Gent won 4, Kortrijk won 1, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was Gent 1–2 Kortrijk on 16 March 2025. Gent's latest win in this sample was Kortrijk 0–1 Gent on 28 July 2024.
Gent have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, while Kortrijk have won one, drawn two and lost two, with nine goals conceded against Gent's seven.
Gent have won each of their last five home games, while Kortrijk have failed to score in three of their last five away matches.
Gent meet Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Planet Group Arena. Referee: Jan Boterberg.
Team pages: Gent · Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Gent 66% · Draw 22% · Kortrijk 12%
Gent's strength edge drives a clear lead — We give Gent 66% mainly because they sit 220 points higher on our strength rating, 1589 to 1369, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 22%, starting from about 21% for a strength gap this size and nudged up slightly because both sides' recent games average 2.6 goals.
Why Gent at 66%?
Gent sit 220 points higher on our strength rating — 1589 to 1369. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 7,097 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 67–21–12.
Why only 66%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 66% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Kortrijk at 12%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399.
What did we measure but not count?
Kortrijk have shed 73 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,436 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Gent are unbeaten in their last 8 home Jupiler Pro League games: 5 wins and 3 draws. The run began on 10 May 2026. It covers all 5 home Jupiler Pro League games this season. Last recorded home league defeat: 26 April 2026 — Gent 0–2 Club Brugge KV. Latest home league result: 25 October 2026 — Gent 4–0 Anderlecht. Across 16,587 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.2%, compared with 54.2% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Gent vs Kortrijk, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Jupiler Pro League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Gent and Kortrijk team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.