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Match report
West Ham beat Wolves 4–2 (half-time 2–1).
West Ham met Wolves in the Championship (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 1 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at London Stadium. Referee: Lewis Smith.
Team pages: West Ham · Wolves · Championship
Before kick-off Sirius gave West Ham 47%, the draw 30%, Wolves 23%. It finished West Ham 4–2 Wolves.
West Ham's rating edge, but the draw is in play — West Ham are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of West Ham's 47%. The draw at 30% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
West Ham sit 89 points higher on our strength rating — 1794 to 1706. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,408 such games.
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims West Ham's column. Across 10,876 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,391 games vs 44.9% across all 99,641 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,942. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
West Ham have won the last 6 home meetings with Wolves. Streaks like this look decisive, but sides on a 3+ home run in a fixture won 58.9% of 4,891 such games vs 58.4% class-expected — the strength that built the streak is already in the rating. Wolves's last five: W-D-W-W-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 7. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2200 games when clearly hotter and 42.8% of 4017 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the West Ham vs Wolves final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from West Ham 4–2 Wolves. Explore more on the West Ham and Wolves team pages or the Championship page.
West Ham beat Wolves 4–2 (half-time 2–1).
Divine Mukasa (33') for West Ham; Jarrod Bowen (42') (penalty) for West Ham; Marshall Munetsi (44') for Wolves; Divine Mukasa (53') for West Ham; Konstantinos Mavropanos (64') for West Ham; Konstantinos Mavropanos (69') (own goal) for Wolves.
Goal highlights and video clips from West Ham 4–2 Wolves are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
West Ham and Wolves have met 10 times — 6 wins for West Ham, 4 wins for Wolves and 0 draws.