HighlightsLincoln City FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 13′Blackburn, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 61′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 61′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 67′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 68′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 69′Blackburn, second yellow card:Foul
- 77′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 79′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 85′Blackburn, yellow card:Argument
- 87′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 87′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 90+1′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 90+4′Lincoln, yellow card:Foul
- 90+5′Blackburn, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time
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Lincoln
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Match report
Lincoln vs Blackburn — the facts
Lincoln and Blackburn drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Lincoln met Blackburn in the Championship (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 1 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Sincil Bank. Referee: Will Finnie.
Team pages: Lincoln · Blackburn · Championship
Key moments
- 69' Red card: Tom Atcheson
Starting line-ups
Lincoln (3-4-3)
Blackburn (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lincoln 63%, the draw 23%, Blackburn 14%. It finished Lincoln 0–0 Blackburn.
Lincoln's rating gap decides it — Lincoln are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Lincoln's 63%. The draw at 23% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Lincoln at 63%?
Lincoln sit 233 points higher on our strength rating — 1689 to 1456. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,969 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–17–12.
Why only 63%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Lincoln's column. Across 10,876 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,391 games vs 44.9% across all 99,641 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,942. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Lincoln are unbeaten in their last 17 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,562 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. Lincoln are newly promoted — game 4 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lincoln vs Blackburn final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lincoln 0–0 Blackburn. Explore more on the Lincoln and Blackburn team pages or the Championship page.