HighlightsWatford FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 8′Swansea, goal:1–0assist
- 25′Watford, yellow card:Foul
- 29′Swansea, goal:2–0assist
- 31′Watford, substitution:off
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Watford, substitution:off
- 57′Swansea, substitution:off
- 57′Swansea, substitution:off
- 65′Watford, substitution:off
- 67′Swansea, substitution:off
- 68′Swansea, substitution:off
- 68′Watford, yellow card:Foul
- 80′Watford, yellow card:Foul
- 83′Watford, substitution:off
- 86′Swansea, substitution:off
- 90+1′Watford, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 0
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Swansea
Watford
Match report
Swansea vs Watford — the facts
Swansea beat Watford 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Swansea met Watford in the Championship (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 1 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Swansea.com Stadium. Referee: Edward Duckworth.
Team pages: Swansea · Watford · Championship
Key moments
- 8' Goal: Eom Ji-Sung (assist: Adam Idah) — 1–0 · Watch Eom Ji-Sung's goal video (8')
- 29' Goal: Adam Idah (assist: Eom Ji-Sung) — 2–0 · Watch Adam Idah's goal video (29')
Starting line-ups
Swansea (4-1-4-1)
Watford (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Swansea 53%, the draw 28%, Watford 19%. It finished Swansea 2–0 Watford.
Swansea's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Swansea are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Swansea's 53%. The draw at 28% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Swansea at 53%?
Swansea sit 176 points higher on our strength rating — 1534 to 1358. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,767 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 58–23–19.
Why only 53%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Swansea's column. Across 10,876 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,391 games vs 44.9% across all 99,641 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Watford win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,942. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Swansea have gained 73 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,282 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Watford have shed 82 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,695 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Swansea vs Watford final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Swansea 2–0 Watford. Explore more on the Swansea and Watford team pages or the Championship page.