Birmingham vs Swansea — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis

Over 1.5 Goals. League base rate: 78% over 1.5 goals On the other hand: Class gap (47 Elo points) — Matches with this rating gap ran −1.1pp vs their league norm at this line across 13,895 measured games.

Under 3.5 Goals. League base rate: 38% over 3.5 goals On the other hand: Team over/under identity — Birmingham have gone over 3.5 in 24% of their last 38 matches and Swansea in 29% of their last 38, against a leag

Over 2.5 Goals. League base rate: 62% over 2.5 goals On the other hand: Team over/under identity — Birmingham have gone over 2.5 in 53% of their last 38 matches and Swansea in 58% of their last 38, against a leag

Both Teams to Score. League base rate: 62% both teams score

Birmingham to Score. League base rate: 80% home sides score

Home rated 1512 vs 1465 — 0.66 expected score Swansea missing 2 key players Birmingham in stronger form — 2.4 vs 1.2 ppg (n=5) Model expects 2.0 – 0.7 goal split

Model-generated pre-match read. Not betting advice.

On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Birmingham vs Swansea, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Championship fixture kicks off.

• Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
• Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
• Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
• Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.

Explore more on the Birmingham and Swansea team pages or the Championship page.