Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
BlackburnWest HamBlackburnWest HamMatch preview
Blackburn host West Ham at Ewood Park in Championship matchday 15
Blackburn welcome West Ham to Ewood Park on Championship matchday 15 with Tony Mowbray's side 14th in the table on 18 points from 14 games. Scott Parker's visitors sit eighth on 23 points, five clear and six places higher.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Blackburn arrive on the back of a 2-1 home loss to Stoke City on 3 November, their third defeat in their last five league outings. In that spell they beat Bristol City 1-0 away and Wrexham 2-0 at home, but lost 4-0 at Swansea on 31 October.
West Ham are winless in their last three after beating Lincoln 6-0 and Swansea 1-0 away from home earlier in October. They lost at home to Southampton and West Brom, then drew 3-3 at Cardiff on 4 November, a game in which they scored three but also conceded three.
Blackburn have won two and lost three of their last five, while West Ham have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring 13 goals to Blackburn's six.
West Ham have lost none of their last five away games, winning three and drawing two, while Blackburn have won three of their last five at home.
Blackburn meet West Ham in the Championship (Regular Season - 15). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Ewood Park.
Team pages: Blackburn · West Ham · Championship
Sirius · Why these numbers
Blackburn 17% · Draw 20% · West Ham 63%
West Ham's strength gap drives a clear lead — We give West Ham 63% mainly because our strength rating puts them 260 points higher, 1653 to 1393, and weak home advantage across Championship home sides adds a little more. The draw sits at 20%, close to its 21% starting point for a gap this size, as high-scoring recent games for both sides lower it and the usual Championship draw rate raises it.
Why West Ham at 63%?
West Ham sit 260 points higher on our strength rating — 1653 to 1393. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,325 such games. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,523 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 19–21–60.
Why only 63%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 63% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Blackburn at 17%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 1.9 points off the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
West Ham have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Blackburn in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. West Ham are 1 game into a new manager (S. Parker), appointed 2 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Blackburn vs West Ham, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Championship fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Blackburn and West Ham team pages or the Championship page.