Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
WrexhamWolvesWrexhamWolvesMatch preview
Wrexham host second-placed Wolves in Championship matchday 15 at the Racecourse Ground
Wrexham welcome Wolves to the Racecourse Ground on Championship matchday 15, with the two sides separated by 14 places and 10 points. Wolves are second on 27 points from 14 games, while Wrexham sit 16th on 17 points from the same number of matches.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Wrexham arrive on the back of a 2-0 home win over Middlesbrough on 4 November, which followed back-to-back defeats at Blackburn and Sheffield Utd. They have won two of their last five overall, scoring seven and conceding six, and have failed to score in two of those games.
Wolves, managed by César Peixoto, have won their last three games, taking in a 3-0 home win over Cardiff and a 2-1 victory at Bristol City on 4 November. They have won four and drawn one of their last five, scoring nine goals and keeping two clean sheets.
Wolves have won four and drawn one of their last five, while Wrexham have won two and lost three of theirs.
Wrexham's last five home games brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, with ten goals scored.
Wrexham meet Wolves in the Championship (Regular Season - 15). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 12:30 UTC at Racecourse Ground.
Team pages: Wrexham · Wolves · Championship
Sirius · Why these numbers
Wrexham 28% · Draw 31% · Wolves 41%
Wolves' stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Wolves sit 140 points higher on our strength rating, 1584 to 1445, and their recent finishing below the quality of their chances adds a little, since cold streaks like this tend to bounce back. The draw starts at 28% for a gap this size and rises to 31%, mostly because both sides' recent games average just 2.3 goals.
Why Wolves at 41%?
Wolves sit 140 points higher on our strength rating — 1584 to 1445. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. Wolves sit -0.39 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 3,000 such games where the class table expected 35.6%. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,523 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–31–37.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 31% and Wrexham at 28%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Wrexham win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.1% of 19,748. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Wolves have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Wrexham in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Last five: Wrexham L-W-L-L-W, Wolves W-D-W-W-W — Wolves are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.0% of 2060 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3981 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Wrexham vs Wolves, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Championship fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Wrexham and Wolves team pages or the Championship page.