Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
West BromMillwallWest BromMillwallMatch preview
West Brom host Millwall in Championship matchday 15 clash at The Hawthorns
West Brom welcome Millwall to The Hawthorns on matchday 15 of the Championship, with James Morrison's side sixth in the table on 25 points from 14 games. Alexander Neil's Millwall sit 13th on 18 points from the same number of matches, seven places and seven points behind their hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
The home side arrive unbeaten across their last five games, with three wins and two draws. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw with Southampton at home, following a 3-1 victory at West Ham on 31 October. Across those five matches they scored ten goals and conceded six.
Millwall come into the game having lost three of their last five, including a 3-0 defeat at Birmingham last time out. In between came a 4-1 home win over Derby on 31 October, and across the five they scored seven and conceded nine, failing to score twice.
Across their last 5 meetings, West Brom won 0, Millwall won 1, with 4 draws. The most recent meeting was West Brom 0–0 Millwall on 10 April 2026. Millwall's latest win in this sample was Millwall 3–0 West Brom on 4 October 2025.
West Brom have won three and drawn two of their last five, while Millwall have won one, drawn one and lost three.
Millwall have lost three of their last five away games, conceding ten goals in those matches, while West Brom have lost just one of their last five at home.
West Brom meet Millwall in the Championship (Regular Season - 15). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at The Hawthorns.
Team pages: West Brom · Millwall · Championship
Sirius · Why these numbers
West Brom 48% · Draw 29% · Millwall 23%
Home advantage and possession nudge West Brom ahead — With almost nothing between them on our strength rating, the usual home advantage puts West Brom ahead at 48%, helped by their habit of controlling the ball. The draw sits at 29%, up from the usual 27.5% because Championship games draw more often and both sides' recent games average 2.6 goals.
Why West Brom in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1469 to 1454. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,593 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). West Brom hold 8 more possession points (55 to 47 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.5% of 5,647 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,523 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Millwall win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Millwall are unbeaten in their last 7 visits to West Brom: 1 win and 6 draws, across 6 Championship games and 1 League Cup game. Last recorded defeat there: 22 September 2018 — West Brom 2–0 Millwall. Latest visit: 10 April 2026 — West Brom 0–0 Millwall. Across 2,308 historical matches involving visitors unbeaten in at least five consecutive visits, those visitors won 47.3%, compared with 45.2% expected from the teams' strength ratings. Last five: West Brom W-W-D-W-D, Millwall L-D-L-W-L — West Brom are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.0% of 2060 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3981 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for West Brom vs Millwall, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Championship fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the West Brom and Millwall team pages or the Championship page.