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Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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QPRLincolnQPRLincolnMatch preview
QPR host Lincoln at Loftus Road with eight places between the sides
QPR welcome Lincoln to Loftus Road on Championship matchday 15, with Julien Stephan's side eleventh on 21 points from 14 games. Lincoln, managed by Chris Cohen, are nineteenth on 15 points after the same number of matches, leaving the sides eight places and six points apart.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
QPR come into the game after a 1-1 draw at home to Burnley on 3 November. Before that came a 4-1 defeat at Southampton, a 5-0 home win over Swansea and a 3-0 loss at Birmingham. In their last five they have scored 11 goals and conceded nine, keeping one clean sheet.
Lincoln have lost three of their last five, most recently 1-0 at Watford on 3 November. Before that they were beaten 3-1 at home by Birmingham, having beaten Burnley 4-1 in the game prior. They have conceded 13 goals in those five matches and failed to score twice.
QPR have won two of their last five and lost two, while Lincoln have won one and lost three, conceding 13 goals to QPR's nine.
Both sides have faced Birmingham and Burnley recently: QPR lost 3-0 at Birmingham and drew 1-1 with Burnley, while Lincoln lost 3-1 to Birmingham and beat Burnley 4-1.
QPR meet Lincoln in the Championship (Regular Season - 15). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at MATRADE Loftus Road.
Team pages: QPR · Lincoln · Championship
Sirius · Why these numbers
QPR 42% · Draw 29% · Lincoln 29%
Home advantage and possession edge QPR in front — Our strength rating actually rates Lincoln higher, 1479 to 1420, but QPR's usual home advantage and their habit of holding more of the ball, 50 to 39 possession in recent games, give them a slight lean at 42%. The draw sits at 29%, its usual rate for a gap this size, nudged up by the Championship's draw rate and down slightly by QPR's ball control.
Why QPR at 42%?
Home ground, against the rating. Lincoln sit 58 points higher on our strength rating — 1479 to 1420. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,153 such games. QPR hold 11 more possession points (50 to 39 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.5% of 5,647 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 42%?
Because Lincoln are the stronger side on our strength rating. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,523 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, level with the Lincoln win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Lincoln have shed 80 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,436 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Lincoln are 4 games into a new manager (Chris Cohen), appointed 21 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for QPR vs Lincoln, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Championship fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the QPR and Lincoln team pages or the Championship page.