Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor — Süper Lig: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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AlanyasporTrabzonsporAlanyasporTrabzonsporMatch preview
Alanyaspor host Trabzonspor on Süper Lig matchday 11
Alanyaspor welcome Trabzonspor to Alanya Oba Stadium in the Süper Lig on matchday 11, with João Pereira's side twelfth on 12 points from ten games. Their latest outing was a 5-0 defeat away to Gençlerbirliği S.K. on 2 November.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Trabzonspor, managed by Thomas Reis, sit third on 22 points after ten games, nine places and ten points ahead of their hosts. They won four of their last five, scoring ten goals and conceding four, though the most recent of those games was a 1-0 home defeat by SC Freiburg on 5 November.
Alanyaspor's home record reads two wins, two draws and a defeat in their last five home games, with eight goals scored and five conceded and two clean sheets. Trabzonspor have won three of their last five away games, scoring 12 goals and conceding eight.
Across their last 5 meetings, Alanyaspor won 1, Trabzonspor won 2, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Alanyaspor 1–1 Trabzonspor on 11 April 2026. Alanyaspor's latest win in this sample was Trabzonspor 0–1 Alanyaspor on 17 December 2025. Trabzonspor's latest win in this sample was Trabzonspor 4–3 Alanyaspor on 27 April 2025.
Trabzonspor have won four of their last five, while Alanyaspor have won one, drawn one and lost three of theirs.
Alanyaspor have kept two clean sheets in their last five home games, while Trabzonspor have failed to score in one of their last five away games.
Alanyaspor meet Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 15:30 UTC at Alanya RGüzel Stadyumu.
Team pages: Alanyaspor · Trabzonspor · Süper Lig
Sirius · Why these numbers
Alanyaspor 22% · Draw 27% · Trabzonspor 51%
Trabzonspor's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Trabzonspor 51% mainly because our strength rating puts them 210 points higher, 1712 to 1501, which outweighs the usual home advantage Alanyaspor start with. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Trabzonspor at 51%?
Trabzonspor sit 210 points higher on our strength rating — 1712 to 1501. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.5% of 7,223 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–28–51.
Why only 51%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 51% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Alanyaspor at 22%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Alanyaspor win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Trabzonspor have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Alanyaspor in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Trabzonspor have gained 73 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Süper Lig fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Alanyaspor and Trabzonspor team pages or the Süper Lig page.