Galatasaray vs Amed — Süper Lig: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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GalatasarayAmedGalatasarayAmedMatch preview
Galatasaray host second-placed Amed with top spot in the Süper Lig at stake
Galatasaray welcome Amed to Rams Park on matchday 11 of the Süper Lig in a meeting between the top two. Okan Buruk's side lead the table on 25 points from 10 games, with Besnik Hasi's Amed second on 23 from the same number, so the gap between them is two points.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Galatasaray arrive on a run of five straight wins, the latest a 2-0 home victory over VfB Stuttgart on 3 November. Across their last five games they have scored 13 goals, conceded three and kept three clean sheets, including a 4-0 win at Konyaspor.
Amed have been just as hard to beat, unbeaten in eight games and winners of their last three, most recently 5-1 against Eyüpspor on 1 November. Of their last five away games, though, only one has been won and three drawn, with 10 goals conceded.
Galatasaray have won all five of their last five games, while Amed have won four and drawn one, with 13 goals scored by each side.
Both sides have faced Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Konyaspor recently: Galatasaray won at each, 1-0 and 4-0, while Amed drew 2-2 away at Gençlerbirliği and beat Konyaspor 1-0 at home.
Galatasaray meet Amed in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 16:00 UTC at Ali Sami Yen Spor Kompleksi RAMS Park.
Team pages: Galatasaray · Amed · Süper Lig
Sirius · Why these numbers
Galatasaray 71% · Draw 17% · Amed 12%
Galatasaray's strength edge makes this one-sided — We give Galatasaray 71% mainly because they sit 226 points higher on our strength rating, 1782 to 1556, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 17%, just under the usual 18% for a gap this size, because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why Galatasaray at 71%?
Galatasaray sit 226 points higher on our strength rating — 1782 to 1556. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 7,097 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–17–12.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 71% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Amed at 12%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Galatasaray have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Amed in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Amed have gained 102 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Galatasaray vs Amed, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Süper Lig fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Galatasaray and Amed team pages or the Süper Lig page.