Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe — Süper Lig: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Çorum FKFenerbahçeÇorum FKFenerbahçeMatch preview
Çorum FK host Fenerbahçe with both sides level on 16 points
Matchday 11 of the Süper Lig brings Fenerbahçe to Corum Stadyumu, where Çorum FK sit seventh and their visitors sixth. After ten games each, both sides have 16 points, so the one place between them is not separated by a single point.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Çorum FK arrive having won their last time out, 3-1 away at Erzurumspor FK on 31 October. Over their last five games they have won three and lost two, scoring nine goals and conceding six, with defeats to Alanyaspor and Göztepe either side of wins over Gaziantep FK and Rizespor.
Fenerbahçe come in on a poor run under Emre Belözoğlu: they lost 2-1 at Galatasaray on 26 October and then 2-1 at home to Göztepe on 31 October. Across their last five games they have won once, drawn once and lost three, conceding 12 goals, a total that includes a 6-0 defeat at Aston Villa.
Çorum FK have won three of their last five games, while Fenerbahçe have won one of theirs and lost three.
Both sides have faced Göztepe recently, and each lost to them: Çorum FK 2-0 away on 25 October, Fenerbahçe 2-1 at home on 31 October.
Çorum FK meet Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 13:00 UTC at Çorum Şehir Stadyumu.
Team pages: Çorum FK · Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig
Sirius · Why these numbers
Çorum FK 22% · Draw 21% · Fenerbahçe 57%
Fenerbahçe's strength edge outweighs Çorum FK's home advantage — We give Fenerbahçe 57% mainly because they sit 198 points higher on our strength rating, 1742 to 1545, which outweighs the usual home advantage Çorum FK start with. The draw sits at 21%, starting from the usual 23% for a gap this size and lowered by 2 points because both teams' own recent games average 3.7 goals.
Why Fenerbahçe at 57%?
Fenerbahçe sit 198 points higher on our strength rating — 1742 to 1545. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.5% of 7,223 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–23–56.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Çorum FK at 22%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Çorum FK have gained 72 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Fenerbahçe are 1 game into a new manager (E. Belözoğlu), appointed 3 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Süper Lig fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Çorum FK and Fenerbahçe team pages or the Süper Lig page.