Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor — Süper Lig: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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EyüpsporKocaelisporEyüpsporKocaelisporMatch preview
Eyüpspor host Kocaelispor in Süper Lig with the table gap wide
Eyüpspor welcome Kocaelispor on Matchday 11 of the Süper Lig, with the two sides far apart in the standings. Eyüpspor sit 18th with three points from ten games, while Kocaelispor are eighth on 16 points, a gap of ten places and 13 points.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Mustafa Dalci's side arrive after a difficult spell: of their last five games they have lost four and won one, scoring five goals and conceding 14. Their most recent outing, on 4 November, brought a 4-2 win away to Fethiyespor, the only victory in that run.
Selcuk Inan's Kocaelispor have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, scoring seven and conceding five. They have kept two clean sheets in that stretch, the latest being a goalless draw at home to Rizespor on 31 October, and they are away from home for this one.
Across their last 2 meetings, Eyüpspor won 0, Kocaelispor won 2, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was Eyüpspor 0–1 Kocaelispor on 9 March 2026.
Kocaelispor have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, while Eyüpspor have lost four and won one of theirs.
Both sides have faced Göztepe in recent weeks, Eyüpspor losing 4-0 at home on 12 October and Kocaelispor losing 2-1 at home on 18 October.
Eyüpspor meet Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 10:30 UTC.
Team pages: Eyüpspor · Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
Sirius · Why these numbers
Eyüpspor 36% · Draw 26% · Kocaelispor 38%
Kocaelispor's rating edge, trimmed by home advantage — Kocaelispor sit 103 points higher on our strength rating, 1503 to 1400, but Eyüpspor's home advantage and a cold finishing streak that usually bounces back keep this to a slight lean, 38% to 36%. The draw starts from the usual 28% for a gap this size and slips to 26%, mainly because of that finishing streak.
Why Kocaelispor at 38%?
Kocaelispor sit 103 points higher on our strength rating — 1503 to 1400. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 35–28–37.
Why only 38%?
Eyüpspor sit -0.49 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 3,000 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Eyüpspor have shed 85 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,436 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Kocaelispor have gained 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Süper Lig fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Eyüpspor and Kocaelispor team pages or the Süper Lig page.