Samsunspor vs Konyaspor — Süper Lig: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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SamsunsporKonyasporSamsunsporKonyasporMatch preview
Samsunspor look to end losing run against Konyaspor in Süper Lig
Samsunspor host Konyaspor at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu in Süper Lig matchday 11 with a ten-game table that places them 17th on four points. Konyaspor sit 15th on eight points, four ahead and two places higher, so the gap between these sides is narrow even if the form is not.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Nenad Bjelica's side have lost their last eight games. All five of their most recent matches ended in defeat: at Erzurumspor FK, at home to Trabzonspor, at Kasımpaşa, at home to Amed and, most recently, a 5-2 loss at Başakşehir. In those five they scored four goals and conceded 15.
Ilhan Palut's Konyaspor arrive after a 4-0 home defeat to Galatasaray on 30 October, which followed a 2-0 home win over Gençlerbirliği S.K. five days earlier. Of their last five games they have won one, drawn two and lost two, with three clean sheets.
Across their last 5 meetings, Samsunspor won 2, Konyaspor won 2, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Samsunspor 2–2 Konyaspor on 5 April 2026. Samsunspor's latest win in this sample was Konyaspor 1–3 Samsunspor on 2 November 2025. Konyaspor's latest win in this sample was Samsunspor 0–1 Konyaspor on 14 September 2024.
Samsunspor have lost all five of their last five, conceding 15 goals, while Konyaspor have won one, drawn two and lost two, with three clean sheets.
Both sides have faced Amed, Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa: Samsunspor lost to all three, while Konyaspor drew with Kasımpaşa and Başakşehir and lost to Amed.
Samsunspor meet Konyaspor in the Süper Lig (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 13:00 UTC at Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu.
Team pages: Samsunspor · Konyaspor · Süper Lig
Sirius · Why these numbers
Samsunspor 38% · Draw 27% · Konyaspor 35%
Home advantage edges a level contest, draw live — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, the usual home advantage puts Samsunspor narrowly in front at 38%, though Konyaspor's cold finishing streak pulls the other way, as runs like that have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 27%, right at the usual rate for sides this level, nudged up by that finishing streak and down slightly by typical scoring in both teams' recent games.
Why Samsunspor in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1479 to 1519. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 38%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Konyaspor sit -0.57 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,696 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 27%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Samsunspor have shed 129 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,436 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Konyaspor come into this after a busy window — 8 arrivals and 17 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Süper Lig fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Samsunspor and Konyaspor team pages or the Süper Lig page.