Match Events
- 8′Arezzo, yellow card:Foul
- 12′Avellino, substitution:off
- 15′Avellino, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 54′Avellino, yellow card:Foul
- 56′Arezzo, penalty goal:1–1Penalty
- 63′Arezzo, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Avellino, substitution:off
- 64′Avellino, substitution:off
- 64′Avellino, substitution:off
- 66′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 77′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 77′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 78′Avellino, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Arezzo, substitution:off
- 83′Avellino, substitution:off
- 90′Arezzo, goal:1–2assist
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Avellino
Arezzo
Match report
Late Ioniță strike hands Arezzo win over Avellino
Avellino opened their Serie B campaign with a 2-1 home defeat to Arezzo at the Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, a result that leaves the hosts pointless after round one while the visitors sit second in the early table. The contest turned on a late goal after Avellino had led at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Raffaele Russo put the home side ahead in the 15th minute, converting an assist from Martin Palumbo to send Avellino into the interval a goal to the good. Arezzo responded shortly after the hour, Pietro Cianci levelling from the penalty spot in the 56th minute to make it 1-1. The match stayed level until deep into stoppage time, when Artur Ioniţă struck in the 90th minute, assisted by Samuele Righetti, to complete the turnaround and hand Arezzo a 2-1 win.
Avellino held the greater share of possession at 61 percent but were outshot 14 to 8 and out-fought physically, conceding ten fouls to Arezzo's six. Arezzo's directness told in the underlying numbers too, finishing with the higher expected goals tally at 1.27 against Avellino's 0.7, a reflection of a match in which the home side controlled the ball without matching that dominance in front of goal.
Russo scored Avellino's opener in the 15th minute and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.9, though it was not enough to prevent defeat.
Despite enjoying 61 percent possession, Avellino managed only eight shots to Arezzo's fourteen, underlining how little that control translated into attacking threat.
Arezzo won 2–1 away against Avellino (half-time 1–0).
Avellino met Arezzo in the Serie B (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. Referee: M. Drigo.
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Raffaele Russo (assist: Martin Palumbo) — 1–0
- 56' Goal (penalty): Pietro Cianci — 1–1
- 90' Goal: Artur Ioniţă (assist: Samuele Righetti) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Avellino (4-2-3-1)
Arezzo (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Avellino 14%, the draw 36%, Arezzo 50%. It finished Avellino 1–2 Arezzo.
Arezzo's rating gap, but the draw is in play — Arezzo are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and a weak Serie B home advantage plus the early-season home fade on top give Arezzo the lean. The draw at 36% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Arezzo at 50%?
Arezzo sit 316 points higher on our strength rating — 1385 to 1701. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.8% of 5,189 such games. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,013 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Avellino's column. Across 10,641 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 22–27–51.
Why only 50%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 50% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 36% and Avellino at 14%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Avellino win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,608. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.4 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Arezzo are newly promoted — game 1 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Avellino vs Arezzo final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Avellino and Arezzo team pages or the Serie B page.