Match Events
- 4′Palermo, goal:1–0assist
- 45+2′Palermo, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Palermo, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Palermo, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Palermo, substitution:off
- 64′Palermo, substitution:off
- 67′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 67′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 72′Palermo, substitution:off
- 75′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 75′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 85′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 85′Palermo, substitution:off
- 85′Palermo, substitution:off
- 88′Palermo, yellow card:Foul
- 90′Juve Stabia, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Player Ratings
Palermo
Juve Stabia
Match report
Johnsen's early strike gives Palermo win over Juve Stabia
Palermo began their Serie B campaign with a 1-0 win over Juve Stabia at the Stadio Renzo Barbera, a result that moved Filippo Inzaghi's side to seven points and three points on the board after the opening round. The game was settled inside the first five minutes and never swung back the other way.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Dennis Johnsen struck in the fourth minute, finishing off a Joel Pohjanpalo assist to put the hosts ahead, and that early goal proved decisive as Palermo held out for the remainder of the contest. No further goals followed, with the scoreline at the interval matching the eventual full-time result.
Palermo had less of the ball, with 46 percent possession to Juve Stabia's 54, yet they were the more direct and clinical side, registering 16 shots to their opponents' 12 and edging the expected-goals count 1.14 to 0.83. Discipline was an issue for the hosts, who picked up four yellow cards to none for the visitors, while Juve Stabia committed only ten fouls compared with Palermo's 21.
Johnsen was involved in the only goal of the match, scoring in the fourth minute to earn a rating of 7.9, the highest of any player on the pitch.
Despite having less possession than Juve Stabia, Palermo produced the greater attacking threat, outshooting their opponents 16 to 12.
Palermo beat Juve Stabia 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Palermo met Juve Stabia in the Serie B (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Referee: Giuseppe Collu.
Team pages: Palermo · Juve Stabia · Serie B
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Dennis Johnsen (assist: Joel Pohjanpalo) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Palermo (4-2-3-1)
Juve Stabia (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Palermo 51%, the draw 35%, Juve Stabia 14%. It finished Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia.
Palermo's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Palermo are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Palermo's 51%. The draw at 35% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Palermo at 51%?
Palermo sit 138 points higher on our strength rating — 1607 to 1469. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,730 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–19–17.
Why only 51%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,018 games vs 44.9% across all 99,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Palermo's column. Across 10,693 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Juve Stabia win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,635. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Palermo are unbeaten in their last 14 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,525 games vs 54.5% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Palermo vs Juve Stabia final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Palermo and Juve Stabia team pages or the Serie B page.