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Vicenza Virtus vs 21.08.26 18:303 – 2Full Time
Catanzaro — Serie B: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Vicenza Virtus opened their Serie B campaign with a dramatic 3-2 win over Catanzaro at the Stadio Romeo Menti, coming from behind twice to claim victory in the Regular Season - 1 fixture on matchday one. Catanzaro had led at half-time but were overturned in a match that swung repeatedly before Vicenza Virtus snatched it in the closing minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Marco D'Alessandro put Catanzaro ahead in the 17th minute, finishing an assist from Gabriele Alesi, before Giuseppe Cuomo levelled for the home side in the 39th minute with Filippo Costa supplying the pass, leaving the score at 1-1 at the break. Bruno Verrengia restored Catanzaro's lead early in the second half, converting a chance created by Matias Antonini in the 51st minute to make it 1-2.
Vicenza Virtus responded with two late goals to turn the game on its head. Alessandro Pietrelli, assisted by Tommaso Corazza, equalised in the 80th minute, and Claudio Morra struck in the 89th minute off a pass from Nicola Rauti to complete the comeback and secure a 3-2 win. Vicenza Virtus finished with more shots and a higher share of shots on target despite seeing less of the ball, with Catanzaro holding 53 percent possession over the course of the match.
Giuseppe Cuomo scored the equaliser just before half-time and was rated the top performer of the match at 8.6, edging out fellow scorers Alessandro Pietrelli and Claudio Morra who each netted once as well.
Vicenza Virtus produced 23 shots to Catanzaro's 13, a notable disparity given they finished with less possession of the ball.
Vicenza Virtus beat Catanzaro 3–2 (half-time 1–1).
Vicenza Virtus met Catanzaro in the Serie B (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Friday, 21 August 2026, 18:30 UTC at Stadio Romeo Menti. Referee: Federico La Penna.
Team pages: Vicenza Virtus · Catanzaro · Serie B
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vicenza Virtus 28%, the draw 36%, Catanzaro 36%. It finished Vicenza Virtus 3–2 Catanzaro.
Anyone's game — Catanzaro are the stronger side on our strength rating, and a weak Serie B home advantage plus the early-season home fade is not enough to separate them. The draw at 36% is level with the Catanzaro win, helped by a draw-heavy league.
Catanzaro sit 182 points higher on our strength rating — 1376 to 1558. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,064 such games. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,012 games vs 44.9% across all 99,194 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Vicenza Virtus's column. Across 10,629 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–25–43.
No scored evidence points the other way. 36% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 36% and Vicenza Virtus at 28%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,830. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.4 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
Catanzaro average 14 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 182 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Catanzaro scored +0.57 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,777 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Vicenza Virtus and Catanzaro team pages or the Serie B page.
Vicenza Virtus beat Catanzaro 3–2 (half-time 1–1).
Marco D'Alessandro (17') for Catanzaro; Giuseppe Cuomo (39') for Vicenza Virtus; Bruno Verrengia (51') for Catanzaro; Alessandro Pietrelli (80') for Vicenza Virtus; Claudio Morra (89') for Vicenza Virtus.
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.