Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella — Serie B: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 30′Sudtirol, yellow card:Foul
- 44′Sudtirol, red card:Violent conduct
- Half-time
- 46′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 46′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 57′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 60′Sudtirol, yellow card:D. PossanziniUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 61′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 68′Sudtirol, yellow card:Foul
- 77′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 77′Virtus Entella, substitution:offT. Annoni
- 83′Sudtirol, substitution:off
- 85′Virtus Entella, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 88′Virtus Entella, substitution:off
- 90′Sudtirol, goal:1–0
- 90′Sudtirol, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Player Ratings
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
Match report
Ten-man Sudtirol snatch late win over Virtus Entella
Sudtirol opened their Serie B campaign with a 1-0 win over Virtus Entella at Stadio Marco Druso, despite playing more than 45 minutes with ten men. The breakthrough did not arrive until stoppage time, but it was enough to give Fabrizio Castori's side victory in the Regular Season - 1 fixture.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The contest turned just before the interval when G. Stabile was sent off in the 44th minute, leaving Sudtirol to see out the remainder of the game a man light. Despite the numerical disadvantage, the home side held firm through the second half and struck in the 90th minute through Simone Davì, who put the ball beyond Entella's goalkeeper to make it 1-0 and settle the contest.
Entella, despite finishing with a full complement of players, could not find a way past a resolute Sudtirol rearguard. The visitors had more of the ball and created more openings, but were unable to convert their territorial edge into a goal, leaving them without points from the opening round while Sudtirol climbed to third in the early table.
Zsombor Menyhárt, Luca Parodi and M. Alborghetti all finished with a 7.2 rating for Entella, the joint-highest of the match, though none of the trio registered a goal or assist.
Despite playing with ten men for the second half, Sudtirol still managed a higher expected-goals figure than Entella, 0.7 to 0.43.
Sudtirol beat Virtus Entella 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Sudtirol met Virtus Entella in the Serie B (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Stadio Druso. Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi.
Team pages: Sudtirol · Virtus Entella · Serie B
Key moments
- 44' Red card: Giacomo Stabile
- 90' Goal: Simone Davì — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Sudtirol (5-4-1)
Virtus Entella (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sudtirol 44%, the draw 38%, Virtus Entella 18%. It finished Sudtirol 1–0 Virtus Entella.
Sudtirol's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Sudtirol are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Sudtirol's 44%. The draw at 38% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Sudtirol at 44%?
Sudtirol sit 57 points higher on our strength rating — 1386 to 1330. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,369 such games.
Why only 44%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,013 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Sudtirol's column. Across 10,641 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Virtus Entella win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,608. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.4 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Sudtirol sit -0.59 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Sudtirol have shed 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.6% of 9,638 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Sudtirol and Virtus Entella team pages or the Serie B page.