Match Events
- 35′Pisa, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Padova, substitution:off
- 46′Pisa, substitution:off
- 61′Pisa, substitution:off
- 62′Pisa, substitution:off
- 62′Padova, substitution:off
- 63′Padova, goal:0–1
- 69′Padova, substitution:off
- 70′Padova, substitution:off
- 72′Padova, yellow card:Foul
- 74′Pisa, substitution:off
- 77′Padova, substitution:off
- 78′Padova, yellow card:A. CalabroUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 86′Pisa, substitution:off
- 90+3′Padova, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
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Pisa
Padova
Match report
Padova stun Pisa despite being outplayed at Arena Garibaldi
Pisa suffered a 1-0 defeat to Padova in their opening Serie B fixture at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, a result that leaves Paolo Bianco's side without a point after matchday one. The only goal came from Pietro Fusi in the 63rd minute, breaking the deadlock in a match that had been goalless at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Pisa dominated territorially, controlling 57% of possession and firing 21 shots to Padova's nine, seven of them on target compared to just two for the visitors. Yet it was Padova who made the breakthrough, with Fusi's finish proving decisive and enough to hold on for the remainder of the contest.
The result continues Padova's inconsistent recent form, having arrived on the back of two wins in their last two outings before this trip, while Pisa's home struggles persisted after a run that included defeats to Lazio, Napoli and Cremonese. Referee Mario Perri booked one player from each side as Pisa pushed for an equaliser that never came.
Alessandro Sorrentino was rated the standout figure on the pitch with an 8.5 mark, helping Padova's defence hold firm despite Pisa's territorial dominance, with teammate Alessandro Dellavalle also impressing at the back.
Pisa's 21 shots to Padova's nine underlined their control of the match, even though it was the visitors who found the net.
Padova won 1–0 away against Pisa (half-time 0–0).
Pisa met Padova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Referee: Mario Perri.
Key moments
- 63' Goal: Pietro Fusi — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Pisa (4-3-3)
Padova (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Pisa 53%, the draw 36%, Padova 11%. It finished Pisa 0–1 Padova.
Pisa's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Pisa are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Pisa the lean. The draw at 36% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Pisa at 53%?
Pisa sit 116 points higher on our strength rating — 1491 to 1375. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,730 such games. Pisa sit -0.54 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,373 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–27–20.
Why only 53%?
Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.0% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,018 games vs 44.9% across all 99,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Pisa's column. Across 10,693 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Padova win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,635. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Padova's last five: L-W-W-L — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2190 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 4003 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Pisa vs Padova final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Pisa and Padova team pages or the Serie B page.

