Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia — Serie B: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 49′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Foul
- 52′Vicenza Virtus, goal:1–0assist
- 64′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 64′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 69′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 69′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 69′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 70′Juve Stabia, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 73′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 73′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 76′Vicenza Virtus, yellow card:Foul
- 78′Juve Stabia, penalty goal:1–1Penalty
- 82′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- 87′Juve Stabia, substitution:off
- 87′Vicenza Virtus, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Player Ratings
Vicenza Virtus
Juve Stabia
Match report
Vicenza Virtus held by Juve Stabia after late penalty at Menti
Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia shared the points in a 1-1 draw in Serie B's Regular Season - 4 clash at the Stadio Romeo Menti. The result did little to shift the standings dramatically, with Vicenza remaining in 12th place and Juve Stabia 16th ahead of the fixture.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The home side broke the deadlock seven minutes into the second half when Tommaso Corazza converted an assist from Silvio Merkaj to make it 1-0. Juve Stabia responded with 12 minutes remaining, Antonio Di Nardo levelling from the penalty spot to bring the score to 1-1, a scoreline that held until the final whistle.
Despite conceding possession, with Juve Stabia enjoying 58 percent of the ball against Vicenza's 42, the away side struggled to convert their territorial edge into clear openings until the late penalty. Vicenza's discipline came under scrutiny too, picking up two yellow cards to their opponents' none, while committing 20 fouls compared to 14 from Juve Stabia.
Riccardo Gagno was rated the outstanding performer on the pitch with a 7.52 rating despite not scoring or assisting, while goalscorer Tommaso Corazza and provider Silvio Merkaj also impressed with ratings of 7.37 and 7.29 respectively.
Juve Stabia doubled Vicenza's shot count, firing 14 attempts to the hosts' 7, though it was Vicenza who struck first.
Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Vicenza Virtus met Juve Stabia in the Serie B (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Romeo Menti. Referee: Rosario Abisso.
Team pages: Vicenza Virtus · Juve Stabia · Serie B
Key moments
- 52' Goal: Tommaso Corazza (assist: Silvio Merkaj) — 1–0
- 78' Goal (penalty): Antonio Di Nardo — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Vicenza Virtus (3-5-2)
Juve Stabia (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vicenza Virtus 30%, the draw 40%, Juve Stabia 30%. It finished Vicenza Virtus 1–1 Juve Stabia.
Home ground cancels Juve Stabia's rating edge — Juve Stabia are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground leaves Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia level. The draw at 40% is the likeliest single result, helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why are Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia level?
Home ground, against the rating. Juve Stabia sit 78 points higher on our strength rating — 1372 to 1450. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,621 such games.
Why only 30% each?
Because Juve Stabia are the stronger side on our strength rating. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.2% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.2%). Serie B homes won 41.7% of 4,045 games vs 44.9% across all 100,077 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Juve Stabia hold 9 more possession points (56 to 47 in recent games) across a 78-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,670 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,797. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.3 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Vicenza Virtus are newly promoted — game 4 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. Juve Stabia come into this after a busy window — 16 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie B fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia team pages or the Serie B page.