Match report
Italy overwhelm Türkiye with four-goal display in Nations League
Italy beat Türkiye 4-1 in a UEFA Nations League League A fixture at the Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu, a five-goal contest that was effectively settled inside the opening half. Alessandro Bastoni opened the scoring in the 9th minute before Davide Frattesi doubled the lead in the 22nd, and Michael Kayode, assisted by Francesco Esposito, made it three shortly after in the 27th minute, leaving the sides 0-3 at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Türkiye pulled one back early in the second half through Barış Yılmaz, assisted by Oğuz Aydın, in the 47th minute to make it 1-3. Any hope of a fuller recovery faded quickly as Esposito struck again just three minutes later to restore Italy's three-goal cushion at 1-4, a scoreline that held until the final whistle.
Türkiye had more of the ball, with 54 percent possession to Italy's 46, and edged the shot count 15 to 14, but Italy were far more clinical in front of goal, landing 8 shots on target compared with Türkiye's 3. Italy also picked up more corners, six to two, while Türkiye committed the greater share of fouls, 21 to 12, with three yellow cards shown to Türkiye's opponents on the night.
Francesco Esposito had a hand in three of Italy's four goals, scoring once and setting up Kayode's effort, finishing with a rating of 8.92, the highest of any player in the match.
Despite conceding four goals, Italy were far more efficient in attack, converting from just 14 shots to Türkiye's 15 while landing more than double the shots on target.
Italy won 4–1 away against Türkiye (half-time 0–3).
Türkiye met Italy in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 2). Kick-off was Monday, 28 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu. Referee: Michael Oliver.
Team pages: Türkiye · Italy · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Alessandro Bastoni — 0–1 · Watch Alessandro Bastoni's goal video (9')
- 22' Goal: Davide Frattesi — 0–2 · Watch Davide Frattesi's goal video (22')
- 27' Goal: Michael Kayode (assist: Francesco Esposito) — 0–3 · Watch Michael Kayode's goal video (27')
- 47' Goal: Barış Yılmaz (assist: Oğuz Aydın) — 1–3 · Watch Barış Yılmaz's goal video (47')
- 50' Goal: Francesco Esposito — 1–4 · Watch Francesco Esposito's goal video (50')
Starting line-ups
Türkiye (3-4-3)
- 1 Altay Bayındır
- 15 Ozan Kabak
- 3 Merih Demiral (c)
- 2 Zeki Çelik
- 13 Evren Elmalı
- 5 Salih Özcan
- 6 Orkun Kökçü
- 18 Oğuz Aydın
- 11 Can Uzun
- 21 Barış Yılmaz
- 10 Arda Güler
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Türkiye 43%, the draw 24%, Italy 33%. It finished Türkiye 1–4 Italy.
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Türkiye's 43% is home ground and little else. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Türkiye in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1808 to 1824. Sides this close won 42.8% of 14,753 home games (draw 26.9%, visitors 30.3%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Türkiye scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 29.1% of 1,439 games, vs 27.3% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.0% of 16,960. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The hot streak factor takes 1.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Türkiye (17 fully-tracked matches with us) and Italy (15) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Türkiye vs Italy final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Alessandro Bastoni's goal against Türkiye (9').
- Watch Davide Frattesi's goal against Türkiye (22').
- Watch Michael Kayode's goal against Türkiye (27').
- Watch Barış Yılmaz's goal against Italy (47').
- Watch Francesco Esposito's goal against Türkiye (50').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Türkiye 1–4 Italy. Explore more on the Türkiye and Italy team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.