Match report
Hungary come from behind to sink Ukraine in Nations League
Hungary won 2-1 away at Štadión Antona Malatinského in a UEFA Nations League League B fixture, overturning a late equaliser to claim all three points in matchday four of Group 2. The first half finished goalless, with both sides going into the interval level at 0-0 despite Ukraine's territorial control.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Milán Tóth broke the deadlock in the 52nd minute, converting from Milán Vitális to put Hungary ahead. Ukraine responded through Roman Yaremchuk, who levelled at 1-1 in the 83rd minute with an assist from Oleksandr Pikhalyonok, sparking hope of a turnaround in front of their own supporters.
That hope lasted barely two minutes. Márk Csinger restored Hungary's lead in the 85th minute, finishing a move set up by Tóth Rajmund to make it 2-1 and settle the contest. Ukraine pushed for a second equaliser but could not find a way through again before the final whistle.
Ukraine had the greater share of possession and produced more shots over the course of the match, yet it was Hungary's efficiency in front of goal either side of the hour mark that proved decisive, with the visitors scoring twice from four shots on target.
Roman Yaremchuk scored Ukraine's equaliser in the 83rd minute and finished with a rating of 7.83, the highest of any player on the pitch, though his goal was not enough to prevent defeat.
Ukraine held 52 percent of possession and had 17 shots to Hungary's 10, yet it was Hungary who made their four shots on target count.
Hungary won 2–1 away against Ukraine (half-time 0–0).
Ukraine met Hungary in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 4). Kick-off was Monday, 5 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Štadión Antona Malatinského. Referee: Igor Pajač.
Team pages: Ukraine · Hungary · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 52' Goal: Milán Tóth (assist: Milán Vitális) — 0–1 · Watch Milán Tóth's goal video (52')
- 83' Goal: Roman Yaremchuk (assist: Oleksandr Pikhalyonok) — 1–1 · Watch Roman Yaremchuk's goal video (83')
- 85' Goal: Márk Csinger (assist: Tóth Rajmund) — 1–2 · Watch Márk Csinger's goal video (85')
Starting line-ups
Ukraine (4-2-3-1)
Hungary (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Ukraine 42%, the draw 28%, Hungary 30%. It finished Ukraine 1–2 Hungary.
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Ukraine's 42% is home ground and little else. The draw at 28% is what level sides usually produce.
Why Ukraine in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1741 to 1770. Sides this close won 42.5% of 14,775 home games (draw 27.3%, visitors 30.2%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Hungary at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,263. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ukraine have shed 81 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 9,544 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Ukraine (13 fully-tracked matches with us) and Hungary (12) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Ukraine vs Hungary final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Milán Tóth's goal against Ukraine (52').
- Watch Roman Yaremchuk's goal against Hungary (83').
- Watch Márk Csinger's goal against Ukraine (85').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Ukraine 1–2 Hungary. Explore more on the Ukraine and Hungary team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.