Match report
Coritiba and Botafogo share the points after 1-1 draw at Couto Pereira
Coritiba and Botafogo drew 1-1 at the Estádio Couto Pereira in Matchday 30 of the Brasileirão Série A, with both goals arriving inside the first 34 minutes. The point lifted Coritiba to 39 points and kept them tenth, while Botafogo moved to 36 and stayed 13th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts went ahead in the 22nd minute through an own goal by Marçal, who turned the ball into his own net to make it 1-0. Botafogo needed only 12 minutes to respond. Danilo Santos finished a chance created by Cristian Medina in the 34th minute, and the score stood at 1-1 at half-time.
Neither side found a second goal after the break. Botafogo had 57 per cent of the possession and 18 shots to Coritiba's 13, though only five of those were on target against three for the hosts. Coritiba collected five yellow cards to Botafogo's two in a contest that saw no red cards.
Both sides play away or at home on Saturday 17 October in the Brasileirão Série A: Coritiba travel to Atletico-MG, while Botafogo host Chapecoense-sc.
Danilo Santos scored Botafogo's equaliser in the 34th minute, converting Cristian Medina's assist, and earned the top rating of the match at 7.61.
Botafogo had 18 shots to Coritiba's 13, yet the contest finished level.
Coritiba and Botafogo drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
Coritiba met Botafogo in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 30). Kick-off was Monday, 12 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estádio Couto Pereira. Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan.
Team pages: Coritiba · Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 22' Goal (own goal): Marçal — 1–0
- 34' Goal: Danilo Santos (assist: Cristian Medina) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Coritiba (4-2-3-1)
Botafogo (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Coritiba 38%, the draw 31%, Botafogo 31%. It finished Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo.
Home advantage edges Coritiba ahead of stronger Botafogo — We give Coritiba 38% because the usual home advantage, boosted by how strongly home sides perform in Brasileirão Série A, outweighs Botafogo sitting 76 points higher on our strength rating. The draw starts at 29% for a gap this size and rises to 31%, mainly because draws are common in Brasileirão Série A.
Why Coritiba at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Botafogo sit 76 points higher on our strength rating — 1512 to 1436. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,380 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.0%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.2% of 4,475 games vs 44.6% across all 101,146 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because Botafogo are the stronger side on our strength rating. Botafogo sit -0.44 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.5% of 1,367 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, level with the Botafogo win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,163. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Botafogo are 3 games into a new manager (Tite), appointed 25 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. Out: Bruno Melo, an important player, and Lucas Ronier, on a provisional rating. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Coritiba vs Botafogo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo. Explore more on the Coritiba and Botafogo team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.