CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 11′CF Montreal, substitution:off
- 25′CF Montreal, goal:1–0
- 33′CF Montreal, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 47′CF Montreal, yellow card:
- 58′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 64′FC Cincinnati, goal:1–1assist
- 70′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:
- 72′CF Montreal, penalty goal:2–1Penalty
- 75′CF Montreal, goal:3–1assist
- 77′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 77′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 86′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 86′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:
- 86′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 87′CF Montreal, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 1
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Key Stats
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CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
Match report
Owusu double sinks Cincinnati as Montreal end long losing run
CF Montreal beat FC Cincinnati 3-1 at Saputo Stadium in Major League Soccer's Regular Season - 27, a result that snapped a run of five straight defeats for the home side. Daniel Ríos opened the scoring in the 25th minute, and Montreal held a 1-0 lead at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cincinnati levelled through Tom Barlow in the 64th minute, converting an assist from Gerardo Valenzuela to make it 1-1. But Montreal responded quickly, with Prince-Osei Owusu restoring their lead from the penalty spot in the 72nd minute before adding a second just three minutes later, assisted by Ríos, to complete the turnaround at 3-1.
Despite finishing with less of the ball, 45 percent possession against Cincinnati's 55, Montreal were sharper in front of goal, and the four-goal contest swung decisively in the closing stages. Referee Ismail Elfath booked two players from each side as the match ended with no dismissals.
Prince-Osei Owusu scored twice, including a penalty, to turn the match in Montreal's favour and finished with a rating of 8.66, the highest of any player involved.
Cincinnati had more of the ball, with 55 percent possession to Montreal's 45, yet still finished on the losing side.
CF Montreal beat FC Cincinnati 3–1 (half-time 1–0).
CF Montreal met FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 27). Kick-off was Saturday, 26 September 2026, 23:30 UTC at Saputo Stadium. Referee: Ismail Elfath. Attendance: 13,723.
Team pages: CF Montreal · FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 25' Goal: Daniel Ríos — 1–0
- 64' Goal: Tom Barlow (assist: Gerardo Valenzuela) — 1–1
- 72' Goal (penalty): Prince Owusu — 2–1
- 75' Goal: Prince Owusu (assist: Daniel Ríos) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
CF Montreal (3-4-1-2)
FC Cincinnati (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave CF Montreal 32%, the draw 22%, FC Cincinnati 46%. It finished CF Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati.
FC Cincinnati's rating gap outweighs CF Montreal's home ground — FC Cincinnati are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of FC Cincinnati's 46%. The draw at 22% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why FC Cincinnati at 46%?
FC Cincinnati sit 164 points higher on our strength rating — 1340 to 1504. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.8% of 6,683 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–25–44.
Why only 46%?
Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.1%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,190 games vs 44.7% across all 100,616 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. CF Montreal sit -0.30 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.3% of 2,492 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.0% of 16,936. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Cincinnati scored +0.48 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,813 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.6% vs 42.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Out: Brayan Vera, an important player, Efraín Morales and Daniel Pereira, rotation players, Hennadii Synchuk and Wikelman Carmona, on provisional ratings, and Noah Streit, not yet rated. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from CF Montreal 3–1 FC Cincinnati. Explore more on the CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati team pages or the Major League Soccer page.