Inter Miami vs New York City FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 20′Inter Miami, goal:1–0assist
- 45+5′Inter Miami, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 52′Inter Miami, yellow card:
- 57′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 57′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 65′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 65′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 74′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 75′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 85′Inter Miami, yellow card:
- 85′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 85′New York City FC, substitution:off
- 90′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 90+7′New York City FC, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Inter Miami
New York City FC
Match report
Inter Miami beat New York City FC 2-0 to climb to second in MLS
Inter Miami won 2-0 against New York City FC at Nu Stadium on Matchday 29 of Major League Soccer, with both goals arriving before half-time. The result lifted the home side from fourth to second in the table, on 52 points from 29 games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Germán Berterame opened the scoring in the 20th minute, converting a chance created by Luis Suárez to make it 1-0. Inter Miami added a second in first-half stoppage time, Rodrigo De Paul scoring in the 45+5 minute after a pass from Lionel Messi.
New York City FC, managed by Pascal Jansen, could not find a way back despite matching Miami for shots, with 14 apiece, and putting five of them on target to the hosts' six. Inter Miami held 57 per cent of possession to 43 per cent for the visitors, who stayed 20th on 33 points.
Both sides are next in action on Saturday 17 October: Inter Miami travel to Atlanta United FC, while New York City FC host Los Angeles FC, both in Major League Soccer.
Dayne St. Clair earned the highest rating of any player, 8.3, as the goalkeeper helped Inter Miami keep a clean sheet against five shots on target. Casemiro followed on 8.08, with De Paul, who scored the second goal, on 8.06.
The shot count was level at 14 apiece, but Inter Miami had the better of the possession, 57 per cent to 43 per cent.
Inter Miami beat New York City FC 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Inter Miami met New York City FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 29). Kick-off was Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Nu Stadium. Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez. Attendance: 25,773.
Team pages: Inter Miami · New York City FC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 20' Goal: Germán Berterame (assist: Luis Suárez) — 1–0
- 45+5' Goal: Rodrigo De Paul (assist: Lionel Messi) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Inter Miami (4-3-3)
New York City FC (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Inter Miami 63%, the draw 22%, New York City FC 15%. It finished Inter Miami 2–0 New York City FC.
Strength rating puts Inter Miami clearly in front — We give Inter Miami 63% mainly because our strength rating has them 115 points higher, 1597 to 1482, and home sides in Major League Soccer tend to do better than the global norm. The draw sits at 22%, starting from the usual 25% for a gap this size and nudged down because both teams' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Inter Miami at 63%?
Inter Miami sit 115 points higher on our strength rating — 1597 to 1482. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,350 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,222 games vs 44.6% across all 101,177 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–24–17.
Why only 63%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 63% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and New York City FC at 15%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,905. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Inter Miami scored +0.57 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,834 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.3% vs 42.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Inter Miami have shed 64 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,596 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Inter Miami vs New York City FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Inter Miami 2–0 New York City FC. Explore more on the Inter Miami and New York City FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.