Nashville SC vs 15.10.26 00:304 – 0Full Time
Sporting Kansas City — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Nashville SC beat Sporting Kansas City 4-0 to extend lead at the top
Nashville SC defeated Sporting Kansas City 4-0 at Geodis Park in Major League Soccer on Matchday 29, three goals in the opening 29 minutes effectively settling the contest. The result lifted the hosts to 66 points from 29 games, with first place already theirs before kick-off.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Hany Mukhtar opened the scoring in the 10th minute from Andy Najar's assist, and Samuel Surridge made it 2-0 in the 17th minute, set up by Mukhtar. Najar then scored himself in the 29th minute, converting a cross from Cristian Espinoza. Nashville led 3-0 at half-time and Sporting never found a way back into the match.
The visitors, in Raphael Wicky's charge, managed one shot on target all night and 8 shots in total against Nashville's 18, even though they edged possession 51% to 49%. Warren Madrigal added a late penalty in the 90+5 minute to complete the scoring. Nashville have now won 4 games in a row, while Sporting remain 30th on 22 points. Nashville travel to San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer next, and Sporting host Real Salt Lake.
Hany Mukhtar scored once and set up another goal, earning the match's highest rating of 9.02. His assist for Surridge's strike came seven minutes after he had opened the scoring himself.
Nashville put 11 of their 18 shots on target, while Sporting Kansas City managed just one on target from their 8 attempts.
Nashville SC beat Sporting Kansas City 4–0 (half-time 3–0).
Nashville SC met Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 29). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Geodis Park. Referee: Joshua Encarnacion.
Team pages: Nashville SC · Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 10' Goal: Hany Mukhtar (assist: Andy Najar) — 1–0
- 17' Goal: Samuel Surridge (assist: Hany Mukhtar) — 2–0
- 29' Goal: Andy Najar (assist: Cristian Espinoza) — 3–0
- 90+5' Goal (penalty): Warren Madrigal — 4–0
Starting line-ups
Nashville SC (4-2-3-1)
Sporting Kansas City (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Nashville SC 84%, the draw 12%, Sporting Kansas City 4%. It finished Nashville SC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City.
Nashville SC's strength gap makes this one-sided — We give Nashville SC 84% mainly because they sit 321 points higher on our strength rating, 1650 to 1329, and home sides in Major League Soccer tend to out-perform the global norm. The draw sits at 12%, starting from the usual 13.5% for a gap this size and nudged down because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why Nashville SC at 84%?
Nashville SC sit 321 points higher on our strength rating — 1650 to 1329. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,558 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,222 games vs 44.6% across all 101,177 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 78–13–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 84% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 12% and Sporting Kansas City at 4%.
Why is the draw only 12%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 13.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,905. The goals environment takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nashville SC have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Sporting Kansas City in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Nashville SC have gained 72 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,190 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Nashville SC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City. Explore more on the Nashville SC and Sporting Kansas City team pages or the Major League Soccer page.