FC Cincinnati vs 14.10.26 23:302 – 3Full Time
New England Revolution — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
New England Revolution come from behind to beat FC Cincinnati 3-2
New England Revolution won 3-2 at FC Cincinnati's TQL Stadium in Major League Soccer on Matchday 29, recovering from an early deficit to take the points in a five-goal contest. Tom Barlow put the hosts ahead in the 13th minute, finishing a chance created by Tyrell Malacia.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors were level within eight minutes, Dor Turgeman converting a Peyton Miller assist in the 21st minute. Joshua Wynder then turned the match before the interval, scoring in the 43rd minute from a Carles Gil assist, and New England led 2-1 at half-time.
Turgeman struck again in the 51st minute, again set up by Miller, to make it 3-1. Kévin Denkey pulled one back in the 67th minute, with Malacia supplying his second assist of the evening, but Cincinnati could not find an equaliser despite dominating possession and territory.
The result lifted New England from seventh to fifth in the table on 49 points, while Cincinnati stayed 17th on 36. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given New England Revolution a 19% chance of winning. New England host Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer on Saturday, and Cincinnati are at home to Columbus Crew on Sunday.
Dor Turgeman scored twice for New England Revolution, in the 21st and 51st minutes, and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.49.
Cincinnati took 21 shots to New England's 10, yet still finished on the losing side.
New England Revolution won 3–2 away against FC Cincinnati (half-time 1–2).
FC Cincinnati met New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 29). Kick-off was Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at TQL Stadium. Referee: Rubiel Vazquez.
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · New England Revolution · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Tom Barlow (assist: Tyrell Malacia) — 1–0
- 21' Goal: Dor Turgeman (assist: Peyton Miller) — 1–1
- 43' Goal: Joshua Wynder (assist: Carles Gil) — 1–2
- 51' Goal: Dor Turgeman (assist: Peyton Miller) — 1–3
- 67' Goal: Kévin Denkey (assist: Tyrell Malacia) — 2–3
Starting line-ups
FC Cincinnati (3-5-2)
New England Revolution (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Cincinnati 57%, the draw 24%, New England Revolution 19%. It finished FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution.
Strong home advantage in this league puts Cincinnati ahead — We give FC Cincinnati 57% mainly because home sides in Major League Soccer do better than the global norm, and our strength rating also has them a shade stronger, 1494 to 1450. The draw starts at the usual 27% for a gap this size but drops to 24% because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why FC Cincinnati at 57%?
FC Cincinnati sit 44 points higher on our strength rating — 1494 to 1450. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,389 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,222 games vs 44.6% across all 101,177 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and New England Revolution at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,905. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Cincinnati have shed 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,596 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. New England Revolution are 2 games into a new manager (M. Mićović), appointed 17 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England Revolution. Explore more on the FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution team pages or the Major League Soccer page.