Chicago Fire vs 15.10.26 00:301 – 3Full Time
Philadelphia Union — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Philadelphia Union come from behind to beat Chicago Fire 3-1
Philadelphia Union won 3-1 at Soldier Field in Major League Soccer on Matchday 29, turning the game around after the interval. Chicago Fire led at half-time through Maren Haile-Selassie, who scored in the 44th minute from a Noah Allen assist, but the visitors scored three times in the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Philadelphia levelled within five minutes of the restart. Bruno Damiani set up Milan Iloski to make it 1-1 in the 49th minute, and Damiani then scored himself six minutes later, converting a Cavan Sullivan assist to put the Union 2-1 ahead in the 55th minute.
Damiani added his second in the 67th minute, with Jovan Lukić providing the final pass, to complete the scoring. Chicago also had a player sent off, and the visitors outshot them 19 to 8, with eight of those efforts on target to the hosts' four.
Philadelphia have now won eight games in a row and are unbeaten in 11 games, a run that lifted them from 11th to 10th in the table on 45 points. Chicago slipped from sixth to seventh on 48 points. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Philadelphia Union a 26% chance of winning. On Saturday 17 October, Philadelphia host Charlotte in Major League Soccer, while Chicago travel to face New England Revolution.
Bruno Damiani scored twice and provided an assist, finishing with a rating of 9.27. His goals in the 55th and 67th minutes turned a deficit into a lead the visitors never relinquished.
Philadelphia took 19 shots to Chicago's 8, underlining how heavily they dominated the attacking play.
Philadelphia Union won 3–1 away against Chicago Fire (half-time 1–0).
Chicago Fire met Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 29). Kick-off was Thursday, 15 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Soldier Field. Referee: Ricardo Fierro.
Team pages: Chicago Fire · Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 44' Goal: Maren Haile-Selassie (assist: Noah Allen) — 1–0
- 49' Goal: Milan Iloski (assist: Bruno Damiani) — 1–1
- 55' Goal: Bruno Damiani (assist: Cavan Sullivan) — 1–2
- 67' Goal: Bruno Damiani (assist: Jovan Lukić) — 1–3
Starting line-ups
Chicago Fire (4-3-3)
Philadelphia Union (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Chicago Fire 52%, the draw 22%, Philadelphia Union 26%. It finished Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union.
Strong home advantage in Major League Soccer gives Chicago Fire the edge — We give Chicago Fire 52%, mainly because home sides in Major League Soccer do better than the global norm, while our strength rating has almost nothing between the teams, 1556 to 1578, with Philadelphia Union marginally ahead. The draw starts near 27% for sides this level but drops to 22%, lowered by Philadelphia Union's finishing streak and the 3.8 goals a game in both teams' recent matches.
Why Chicago Fire in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1556 to 1578. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,815 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,222 games vs 44.6% across all 101,177 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Philadelphia Union scored +0.70 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.3% of 1,461 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 52%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 22% and Philadelphia Union at 26%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,905. The cool-off factor takes 2.5 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Philadelphia Union have gained 129 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,190 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Out: Tah D'Avilla, an important player, and Robin Lod, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union. Explore more on the Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union team pages or the Major League Soccer page.