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Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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FulhamNewcastleFulhamNewcastleMatch preview
Fulham host Newcastle at Craven Cottage with both sides short of form
Fulham welcome Newcastle to Craven Cottage in Matchweek 10 of the Premier League, with Alvaro Arbeloa's side 15th on nine points from nine games. Matthias Jaissle's visitors sit two places and two points better off in 13th, on 11 points from the same number of matches.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Fulham arrive after a 1-1 draw away to Aston Villa on 31 October. Across their last five games they have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring four goals and conceding four, with two clean sheets. Their latest home outing ended in a 1-0 defeat to Crystal Palace.
Newcastle's recent run has been harder going: four defeats in their last five, with a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace the exception. They lost 3-1 away to Everton on 29 October and 1-0 to the same opponents at home on 2 November, and have conceded nine goals over those five games while scoring four.
Across their last 5 meetings, Fulham won 3, Newcastle won 2, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was Fulham 2–0 Newcastle on 24 May 2026. Newcastle's latest win in this sample was Newcastle 2–1 Fulham on 17 December 2025.
Fulham have won two of their last five and lost two, while Newcastle have lost four of theirs and won only once, at Crystal Palace.
Newcastle have lost three of their last five away games, conceding 11 goals in that run, while Fulham have kept two clean sheets in their last five at home.
Fulham meet Newcastle in the Premier League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Craven Cottage. Referee: Robert Jones.
Team pages: Fulham · Newcastle · Premier League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Fulham 42% · Draw 28% · Newcastle 30%
Home advantage gives Fulham a slight edge — Our strength rating has almost nothing between the sides, 1725 to 1749, with Newcastle fractionally ahead, so Fulham's usual home advantage is what puts them in front at 42%. The draw sits at 28%, starting from the usual 27% rate between sides this level and nudged up slightly by both teams' recent games averaging 2.5 goals.
Why Fulham in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1725 to 1749. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Newcastle at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Fulham sit -0.84 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Newcastle have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Fulham vs Newcastle, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Premier League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Fulham and Newcastle team pages or the Premier League page.