Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
EvertonCoventryEvertonCoventryMatch preview
Everton host Coventry at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Premier League Matchweek 10
Everton welcome Coventry to Hill Dickinson Stadium in Matchweek 10 of the Premier League. David Moyes's side sit seventh with 13 points from nine games, while Frank Lampard's Coventry are 16th on nine points, four behind and nine places lower in the table.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Everton arrive on a two-game winning run, having beaten Newcastle 3-1 at home on 29 October and then won 1-0 at Newcastle on 2 November. Before that came defeats by Chelsea and Arsenal, and a 2-2 draw away to Hull City, leaving them with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five.
Coventry have won three and lost two of their last five, scoring nine and conceding six. They lost 3-1 at Tottenham and 1-0 at home to Fulham before beating Sunderland 3-1 at home on 31 October, their most recent outing.
Team news as of 6 November: Everton have Tyrique George and Jack Grealish listed as doubtful. Coventry have Aurèle Amenda and Haji Wright listed as out, and Bobby Thomas, Josh Eccles and Luke Woolfenden as doubtful.
Everton have won their last two, both against Newcastle, while Coventry bounced back from consecutive defeats with a 3-1 home win over Sunderland on 31 October.
Everton have won three of their last five home games, whereas Coventry have lost three of their last five away from home.
Everton meet Coventry in the Premier League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Friday, 6 November 2026, 20:00 UTC at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Referee: Stuart Attwell.
Team pages: Everton · Coventry · Premier League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Everton 66% · Draw 21% · Coventry 13%
Everton's clear strength edge drives the forecast — We give Everton 66% mainly because our strength rating has them 169 points higher, 1765 to 1597, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 21%, starting from 19.7%, the usual rate for a strength gap this size, and nudged up slightly because both sides' own recent games average 2.7 goals.
Why Everton at 66%?
Everton sit 169 points higher on our strength rating — 1765 to 1597. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 7,097 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 66–23–11.
Why only 66%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 66% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Coventry at 13%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399.
What did we measure but not count?
Everton have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Coventry in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Coventry scored +0.31 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,264 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 40.9% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Everton vs Coventry, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Premier League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Everton and Coventry team pages or the Premier League page.