Ipswich vs Bournemouth — Premier League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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IpswichBournemouthIpswichBournemouthMatch preview
Ipswich host in-form Bournemouth in Matchweek 10 at Portman Road
Ipswich welcome Bournemouth to Portman Road in Matchweek 10 of the Premier League, with Gary O'Neil's side 14th on 11 points from nine games. Marco Rose's visitors sit eighth on 12 points, one ahead of their hosts despite being six places higher in the table.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Ipswich come into the match without a win in their last two, having drawn 1-1 with Nottingham Forest at home and 2-2 away to Hull City last time out. Across their last five they have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, scoring seven and conceding eight, with no clean sheets in that spell.
Bournemouth arrive on a run of seven straight wins. In their last five they have scored 14 goals and conceded one, keeping four clean sheets, the most recent a 3-1 win away to Sparta Prague on 5 November.
Across their last 5 meetings, Ipswich won 1, Bournemouth won 1, with 3 draws. The most recent meeting was Bournemouth 1–2 Ipswich on 2 April 2025. Bournemouth's latest win in this sample was Ipswich 1–2 Bournemouth on 8 December 2024.
Bournemouth have won all five of their last five, scoring 14 and conceding once, while Ipswich have won one of theirs and drawn their last two.
Ipswich have kept no clean sheet in their last five games, while Bournemouth have kept four in their last five.
Ipswich meet Bournemouth in the Premier League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC at Portman Road. Referee: Simon Hooper.
Team pages: Ipswich · Bournemouth · Premier League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Ipswich 17% · Draw 19% · Bournemouth 64%
Bournemouth's strength gap drives a clear lead — Bournemouth sit 308 points higher on our strength rating, 1890 to 1582, which comfortably outweighs the usual home advantage Ipswich enjoy, so we give them 64%. The draw sits at 19%, starting from the usual 21% for a gap this size and nudged down because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why Bournemouth at 64%?
Bournemouth sit 308 points higher on our strength rating — 1890 to 1582. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 18–21–61.
Why only 64%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 64% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Ipswich at 17%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 1.8 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bournemouth have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Ipswich in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Bournemouth have gained 65 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 12,006 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Ipswich vs Bournemouth, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Premier League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Ipswich and Bournemouth team pages or the Premier League page.