Crystal Palace vs Liverpool — Premier League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Crystal Palace host Liverpool at Selhurst Park in Premier League Matchweek 10
Crystal Palace welcome Liverpool to Selhurst Park for Matchweek 10 of the Premier League, with Pierre Sage's side 18th on seven points from nine games. Andoni Iraola's Liverpool sit fifth on 15 points, eight clear of their hosts and 13 places higher in the table.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Palace come into the fixture after a 1-1 draw at home to 1899 Hoffenheim. Before that they lost 2-0 at Tottenham and won 1-0 at Fulham, having been beaten 2-0 at home by Newcastle and held 2-2 by Beşiktaş. They have won one of their last five, scoring four and conceding seven.
Liverpool arrive after two successive defeats, 1-0 at home to Arsenal and 3-2 away to Fenerbahçe. Those followed a 1-1 draw with Chelsea and wins over Brighton and Villarreal. Across their last five, Liverpool have scored nine and conceded eight, and they have won four of their last five away league games.
Liverpool have won two and lost two of their last five, while Palace have won one, drawn two and lost two.
Liverpool have scored 13 goals in their last five away games, winning four, while Palace have won two of their last five at home.
Crystal Palace meet Liverpool in the Premier League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC at Selhurst Park. Referee: Tony Harrington.
Team pages: Crystal Palace · Liverpool · Premier League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Crystal Palace 34% · Draw 25% · Liverpool 41%
Liverpool's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — Liverpool sit 148 points higher on our strength rating, 1858 to 1711, which puts them slightly in front at 41%, though Crystal Palace's usual home advantage keeps them close at 34%. The draw starts from 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 25% because both teams' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Liverpool at 41%?
Liverpool sit 148 points higher on our strength rating — 1858 to 1711. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–25–44.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Crystal Palace at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Liverpool have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than Crystal Palace in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Liverpool were away in Europe 4 days ago — the travel-hangover worry. The hangover receipt comes back near-empty: league games two to four days after a European away trip ran +0.5 points vs class across 2,964 games, against the same clubs' +2.1 control — a residual inside the noise band.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Premier League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Crystal Palace and Liverpool team pages or the Premier League page.