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ArsenalHull CityArsenalHull CityMatch preview
Arsenal host Hull City at the Emirates in Premier League Matchweek 10
Premier League leaders Arsenal welcome Hull City to the Emirates Stadium in Matchweek 10, with the table showing a gap of 10 places and 13 points between the sides. Mikel Arteta's team sit first on 24 points from nine games, while Sergej Jakirović's visitors are 11th on 11.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Arsenal arrive unbeaten in seven games. Their last five outings brought three wins and two draws, with seven goals scored, three conceded and three clean sheets. Their most recent game was a 1-0 win away to Liverpool on 1 November, preceded by a 1-1 draw at Fleetwood Town.
Hull City come into the fixture eight games without a win. Across their last five they have drawn three and lost two, scoring six and conceding eight without a clean sheet. Their latest outing was a 2-2 draw at home to Ipswich on 31 October, and they have drawn three of their last four.
Across their last 5 meetings, Arsenal won 4, Hull City won 0, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Arsenal 2–0 Hull City on 11 February 2017.
Arsenal have won three and drawn two of their last five, while Hull City have drawn three and lost two of theirs.
Both sides have faced Everton recently: Arsenal beat them 2-0 at home on 24 October, while Hull City drew 2-2 with them at home on 11 October.
Arsenal meet Hull City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Emirates Stadium. Referee: Farai Hallam.
Team pages: Arsenal · Hull City · Premier League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Arsenal 84% · Draw 13% · Hull City 3%
A huge strength gap makes Arsenal clear favourites — We give Arsenal 84% mainly because our strength rating puts them 518 points higher, 2040 to 1522, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 13%, close to the usual 12% for a gap this size, nudged up slightly because both teams' own recent games average a typical 2.5 goals.
Why Arsenal at 84%?
Arsenal sit 518 points higher on our strength rating — 2040 to 1522. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.6% of 5,987 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 86–12–2.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 84% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 13% and Hull City at 3%.
Why is the draw only 13%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 12.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399.
What did we measure but not count?
Arsenal have averaged 20 percentage points more possession than Hull City in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 8 home league games: 8 wins and 0 draws. The run began on 25 April 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 11 April 2026 — Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth. Latest home league result: 24 October 2026 — Arsenal 2–0 Everton. Across 16,587 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.2%, compared with 54.2% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Arsenal vs Hull City, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Premier League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Arsenal and Hull City team pages or the Premier League page.