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Celta VigoLevanteCelta VigoLevanteMatch preview
Celta Vigo host Levante in La Liga with both sides coming off defeats
Celta Vigo welcome Levante in La Liga on Matchday 12, with Claudio Giraldez's side tenth in the table on 12 points from 11 games. Levante, managed by Luís Castro, sit 18th on 10 points, eight places and two points behind their hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Celta arrive having lost their last two, 3-0 away to Rayo Vallecano and 1-2 at home to Union St. Gilloise last time out. Before that came a goalless draw with Real Betis and wins over Alaves and, away at Celtic, by 2-1.
Levante have also lost their last two, going down 2-1 at Real Sociedad and then 2-0 at home to Atletico Madrid. Across their last five they have won once and drawn twice, scoring eight goals and conceding nine, and they have failed to score in one of those games.
Across their last 5 meetings, Celta Vigo won 3, Levante won 1, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante on 12 May 2026. Celta Vigo's latest win in this sample was Levante 1–2 Celta Vigo on 2 November 2025.
Celta have won two of their last five and lost two, while Levante have won one, drawn two and lost two, with both sides beaten in their most recent two games.
Levante are still without a win in their last five away games, three of which ended in draws, while Celta have won two of their last five at home.
Celta Vigo meet Levante in the La Liga (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 17:30 UTC at Estadio ABANCA Balaídos.
Team pages: Celta Vigo · Levante · La Liga
Sirius · Why these numbers
Celta Vigo 48% · Draw 27% · Levante 25%
Home advantage gives Celta Vigo a slight lean — Our strength rating has almost nothing between them, 1655 to 1635, so Celta Vigo's usual home advantage puts them in front, helped by home sides in La Liga generally doing better than the global norm. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual rate for sides this level, nudged down slightly because both teams' own recent games average 2.8 goals.
Why Celta Vigo in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1655 to 1635. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,593 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,189 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 48%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 27% and Levante at 25%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Levante win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Celta Vigo won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Levante. The record is 3 wins for Celta Vigo, 2 draws and 1 win for Levante. These were 6 La Liga games played between 26 October 2020 and 12 May 2026. Latest meeting: 12 May 2026 — Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante. Celta Vigo lead the 6-match record, although Levante won the latest encounter. In 5,573 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%. Celta Vigo on 2 days' rest, Levante on 8. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 45,186 measured games no rest advantage repeated.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Celta Vigo vs Levante, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this La Liga fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Celta Vigo and Levante team pages or the La Liga page.