Match preview
West Brom host Blackburn with seventh and ninth separated by two points
West Brom welcome Blackburn to The Hawthorns for Matchday 11 of the Championship, with Adam Herczeg the referee. The hosts sit seventh on 17 points from ten games, while Blackburn, managed by Tony Mowbray, are ninth on 15 from the same number of fixtures.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
James Morrison's side arrive having taken a win and two defeats from their last three. A 2-1 victory at Wrexham on 13 October was followed by a 1-0 home loss to Birmingham three days earlier and a 1-0 defeat at Wolves on 20 September. Across their last five, West Brom have won two, drawn one and lost two, scoring four and conceding four.
Blackburn have won three of their last five, drawn one and lost one, scoring nine and conceding six. Their most recent game was a 1-0 win at Bristol City on 13 October, three days after a 2-1 home victory over Cardiff. Away from home, though, they have won one of their last five, drawing three.
Across their last 5 meetings, West Brom won 2, Blackburn won 1, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was Blackburn 0–0 West Brom on 6 April 2026. West Brom's latest win in this sample was West Brom 1–0 Blackburn on 9 August 2025. Blackburn's latest win in this sample was West Brom 0–2 Blackburn on 12 February 2025.
Team news as of 15 October: West Brom have Nolan Galves and Michael Johnston listed as out. Blackburn have Yuki Ohashi, Adam Forshaw, Yuri Ribeiro, Lewis Miller and Matthew Litherland listed as out, and 1 player as doubtful.
Blackburn have won three of their last five, scoring nine, while West Brom have won two of theirs and scored four.
Blackburn's away record reads one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five on the road, with two clean sheets.
West Brom meet Blackburn in the Championship (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at The Hawthorns. Referee: Adam Herczeg.
Team pages: West Brom · Blackburn · Championship
Sirius · Why these numbers
West Brom 46% · Draw 28% · Blackburn 26%
Blackburn's hot finishing streak tilts it to West Brom — With our strength rating almost level, West Brom's home advantage and Blackburn's recent scoring above their chances, a streak that tends to cool, put West Brom slightly ahead at 46%, though home advantage runs weak in the Championship. The draw sits at 28%, near its usual 28% start: the finishing streak lowers it, while the Championship's draw rate and typical-scoring recent games raise it.
Why West Brom in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1431 to 1416. Sides this close won 45.8% of 13,721 home games (draw 27.6%, visitors 26.6%). Blackburn scored +0.55 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.3% of 1,468 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,474 games vs 44.6% across all 101,206 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Blackburn win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,322. The cool-off factor takes 2.5 points off the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for West Brom vs Blackburn, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Championship fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the West Brom and Blackburn team pages or the Championship page.