SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt — Bundesliga: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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SC Paderborn 07Eintracht FrankfurtSC Paderborn 07Eintracht FrankfurtMatch preview
SC Paderborn 07 host Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga matchday nine
SC Paderborn 07 welcome Eintracht Frankfurt to Home Deluxe Arena on Bundesliga matchday nine, with Ralf Kettemann's side 14th in the table on nine points from eight games. Adi Hütter's visitors sit eighth on 11 points from the same number of matches, two points and six places ahead.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Paderborn arrive after a goalless draw at Borussia Mönchengladbach on 31 October. That followed a 1-0 home defeat to VfB Stuttgart three days earlier, and a 1-0 home win over Hamburger SV before that. Of their last five games, they have won one, drawn two and lost two, scoring three goals.
Frankfurt come into the game having beaten Hamburger SV twice in the space of a week, 3-1 away on 27 October and 3-1 at home on 1 November. Before that they lost 1-0 at Borussia Dortmund and had beaten 1. FC Köln 1-0, after a 6-0 defeat at RB Leipzig on 10 October.
Across their last 4 meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 2, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2 SC Paderborn 07 on 27 June 2020. SC Paderborn 07's latest win in this sample was SC Paderborn 07 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt on 22 December 2019.
Paderborn have won one of their last five and drawn two, while Frankfurt have won three of theirs, though they also shipped nine goals in that spell.
Both sides have faced Hamburger SV recently: Paderborn beat them 1-0 at home on 24 October, while Frankfurt won both of their meetings with them, 3-1 each time.
SC Paderborn 07 meet Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 14:30 UTC at Home Deluxe Arena. Referee: Bastian Dankert.
Team pages: SC Paderborn 07 · Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga
Sirius · Why these numbers
SC Paderborn 07 34% · Draw 25% · Eintracht Frankfurt 41%
Frankfurt's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Eintracht Frankfurt sit 107 points higher on our strength rating, 1660 to 1552, which puts them slightly in front at 41%, though Paderborn's usual home advantage keeps the gap narrow. The draw starts near 28%, the usual rate for a strength gap this size, and drops to 25% because both teams' own recent games average 3.4 goals.
Why Eintracht Frankfurt at 41%?
Eintracht Frankfurt sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1660 to 1552. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–26–43.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and SC Paderborn 07 at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SC Paderborn 07 come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals, 7 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Eintracht Frankfurt have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Bundesliga fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Frankfurt team pages or the Bundesliga page.