Manchester City vs 14.10.26 19:002 – 4Full Time
Paris Saint Germain — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Paris Saint Germain beat Manchester City 4-2 at the Etihad Stadium
Paris Saint Germain won 4-2 away to Manchester City on matchday 2 of the UEFA Champions League league stage, ending the home side's run of eight wins in a row. The visitors were three goals clear by half-time and held off a second-half fightback from Erling Haaland.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Désiré Doué opened the scoring in the 13th minute from Fabián Ruiz's assist, and two minutes later Ousmane Dembélé doubled the lead from Doué's pass. Vitinha made it 3-0 in the 32nd minute, set up by Warren Zaïre-Emery, as City found themselves chasing the game before the interval.
Haaland pulled one back in the 53rd minute, converting Iliman Ndiaye's assist, but Maghnes Akliouche restored the three-goal cushion in the 62nd minute from Dembélé's pass. Haaland struck again in the 75th minute, set up by Ayyoub Bouaddi, to make it 4-2, though City could not find a third. Paris Saint Germain have now won five games in a row.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Paris Saint Germain a 30% chance of winning. On Saturday, Manchester City host Ipswich in the Premier League, while Paris Saint Germain travel to Strasbourg in Ligue 1.
Doué scored once and set up another goal, earning the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 9.0. Haaland's two goals brought him a rating of 8.52 in defeat.
Manchester City had 11 corners to Paris Saint Germain's 2, yet finished on the losing side.
Paris Saint Germain won 4–2 away against Manchester City (half-time 0–3).
Manchester City met Paris Saint Germain in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Etihad Stadium. Referee: Sven Jablonski.
Team pages: Manchester City · Paris Saint Germain · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Désiré Doué (assist: Fabián Ruiz) — 0–1
- 15' Goal: Ousmane Dembélé (assist: Désiré Doué) — 0–2 · Watch Ousmane Dembélé's goal video (15')
- 32' Goal: Vitinha (assist: Warren Zaïre-Emery) — 0–3
- 53' Goal: Erling Haaland (assist: Iliman Ndiaye) — 1–3
- 62' Goal: Maghnes Akliouche (assist: Ousmane Dembélé) — 1–4
- 75' Goal: Erling Haaland (assist: Ayyoub Bouaddi) — 2–4
Starting line-ups
Manchester City (4-2-3-1)
Paris Saint Germain (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Manchester City 45%, the draw 25%, Paris Saint Germain 30%. It finished Manchester City 2–4 Paris Saint Germain.
City's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — We give Manchester City 45% mainly because our strength rating has them 65 points higher, 2031 to 1966, though Paris Saint Germain's cold finishing streak, which tends to bounce back, pulls some of that edge back. The draw sits at 25%, starting near 27% for a gap this size and nudged down because both teams' recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Manchester City at 45%?
Manchester City sit 65 points higher on our strength rating — 2031 to 1966. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,389 such games.
Why only 45%?
Paris Saint Germain sit -0.45 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.5% of 1,367 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally. Paris Saint Germain hold 6 more possession points (68 to 62 in recent games) across a 65-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,632 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,905. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Manchester City won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Paris Saint Germain. The record is 4 wins for Manchester City, 0 draws and 2 wins for Paris Saint Germain. These were 6 UEFA Champions League games played at both grounds between 12 April 2016 and 22 January 2025. Latest meeting: 22 January 2025 — Paris Saint Germain 4–2 Manchester City. Manchester City lead the 6-match record, although Paris Saint Germain won the latest encounter. In 5,184 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.9%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Manchester City 2–4 Paris Saint Germain. Explore more on the Manchester City and Paris Saint Germain team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.